The School of OddsTroyes v Paris FC
Head to Head
Option 1: Troyes (Local)
Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.7037.03%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.9434.01%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.53%2.983Min
35.07%2.851Max
33.88%2.951Mean
33.87%2.952Median
33.87%2.952IQM
33.93%2.947Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.94 under the IQM model: 33.87%
EV -0.414%Edge -0.141%Kelly -0.213%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Paris FC (Visit)
Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.4341.07%Mean
2.4540.82%Median
2.6338.02%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.27%2.683Min
38.60%2.591Max
37.71%2.652Mean
37.56%2.662Median
37.56%2.662IQM
37.68%2.654Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.63 under the IQM model: 37.56%
EV -1.22%Edge -0.464%Kelly -0.749%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.3130.22%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.02%3.701Min
28.99%3.449Max
28.41%3.520Mean
28.57%3.500Median
28.57%3.500IQM
28.39%3.522Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.57%
EV -0.010%Edge -0.003%Kelly -0.004%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Troyes (Local) ▼ | Paris FC (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94I 34.01% NM 33.53%EV -0.414% E -0.141% K -0.213% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 37.48%EV -1.22% E -0.464% K -0.749% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 28.99%EV -2.87% E -0.843% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-07-03 14:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.94%EV -5.16% E -1.84% K -2.86% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.27%EV -4.23% E -1.66% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.80%EV -5.72% E -1.73% K -2.49% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 14:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.65%EV -6.85% E -2.49% K -3.91% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -6.10% E -2.44% K -4.07% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.23%EV -0.010% E -0.003% K -0.004% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.39%EV -6.85% E -2.49% K -3.91% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.60%EV -7.98% E -3.26% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.02%EV -0.010% E -0.003% K -0.004% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 14:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -6.85% E -2.49% K -3.91% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.29%EV -7.98% E -3.26% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.59%EV -2.87% E -0.843% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.07%EV -8.54% E -3.16% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.88%EV -6.10% E -2.44% K -4.07% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.05%EV -0.010% E -0.003% K -0.004% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.53%EV -8.54% E -3.16% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.05%EV -7.98% E -3.26% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.42%EV -2.87% E -0.843% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.26%EV -8.54% E -3.16% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.54%EV -9.86% E -4.11% K -7.04% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.20%EV -2.87% E -0.843% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -8.54% E -3.16% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.41%EV -7.98% E -3.26% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.64%EV -8.58% E -2.68% K -3.90% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-03 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.25%EV -10.24% E -3.86% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 37.82%EV -9.86% E -4.11% K -7.04% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -7.15% E -2.20% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-03 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.62I 38.17% NM 33.53%EV -11.25% E -4.30% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10% NM 37.86%EV -12.86% E -5.54% K -9.75% G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57% NM 28.61%EV -12.29% E -4.00% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-03 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46% NM 33.68%EV -11.93% E -4.59% K -7.46% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.07%EV -13.61% E -5.92% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.25%EV -11.44% E -3.69% K -5.45% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 34.42%EV -17.01% E -6.94% K -11.73% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 37.48%EV -15.49% E -6.89% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.11%EV -14.29% E -4.76% K -7.15% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-03 13:55 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.