The School of Odds

Nashville Sounds v Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

2026-07-04 21:05 — MiLB

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Nashville Sounds (Local)

1.7457.47%Min
1.7656.71%Mean
1.7756.50%Median
1.7856.18%Max
52.55%1.903Min
52.91%1.890Max
52.88%1.891Mean
52.88%1.891Median
52.88%1.891IQM
52.88%1.891Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 52.88%

EV -5.88%Edge -3.30%Kelly -7.54%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)

1.9551.28%Min
1.9750.76%Mean
1.9651.02%Median
2.0050.00%Max
47.09%2.124Min
47.45%2.107Max
47.12%2.122Mean
47.12%2.122Median
47.12%2.122IQM
47.12%2.122Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 47.12%

EV -5.76%Edge -2.88%Kelly -5.76%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNashville Sounds (Local) ▼Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.88% E -3.30% K -7.54% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.76% E -2.88% K -5.76% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:25
1xBet1.77I 56.50% NM 52.55%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 47.45%EV -7.64% E -3.90% K -7.96% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 13:10
Betway1.74I 57.47% NM 52.85%EV -7.99% E -4.59% K -10.80% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.15%EV -8.11% E -4.16% K -8.54% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 18:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.