The School of Odds

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

2026-07-05 16:30 — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Atlanta Braves (Local)

1.7656.82%Min
1.8254.80%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.9052.63%Max
50.00%2.000Min
53.66%1.863Max
52.49%1.905Mean
52.55%1.903Median
52.51%1.904IQM
52.52%1.904Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.90 under the IQM model: 52.51%

EV -0.226%Edge -0.119%Kelly -0.252%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New York Mets (Visit)

1.9052.63%Min
2.0050.03%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.1047.62%Max
46.34%2.158Min
50.00%2.000Max
47.51%2.105Mean
47.45%2.107Median
47.49%2.106IQM
47.48%2.106Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 47.49%

EV -0.276%Edge -0.131%Kelly -0.251%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAtlanta Braves (Local) ▼New York Mets (Visit)MarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -0.226% E -0.119% K -0.252% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -9.77% E -5.14% K -10.86% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:40
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19% NM 51.79%EV -1.28% E -0.679% K -1.45% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.21%EV -4.08% E -2.02% K -4.00% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 02:40
1xBet1.87I 53.48% NM 52.42%EV -1.80% E -0.964% K -2.07% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 47.58%EV -2.18% E -1.06% K -2.05% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48% NM 51.30%EV -1.80% E -0.964% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 48.70%EV -6.45% E -3.27% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48% NM 51.30%EV -1.80% E -0.964% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 48.70%EV -6.45% E -3.27% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 22:55
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48% NM 51.30%EV -1.80% E -0.964% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 48.70%EV -6.45% E -3.27% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 22:55
FanDuel1.86I 53.76% NM 51.56%EV -2.33% E -1.25% K -2.71% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.44%EV -5.97% E -3.02% K -6.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:40
Bovada1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -5.97% E -3.02% K -6.10% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 02:35
SportsBet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:45
Casumo1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
Unibet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:54
betPARX1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.92% E -3.53% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:55
TABtouch1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -7.40% E -3.79% K -7.79% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -7.40% E -3.79% K -7.79% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:55
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -2.85% E -1.54% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -7.40% E -3.79% K -7.79% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:45
GTbets1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -0.276% E -0.131% K -0.251% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 53.32%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.09I 47.85% NM 46.68%EV -0.751% E -0.359% K -0.689% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 53.32%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.09I 47.85% NM 46.68%EV -0.751% E -0.359% K -0.689% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64% NM 53.32%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.09I 47.85% NM 46.68%EV -0.751% E -0.359% K -0.689% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:25
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 52.59%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 47.41%EV -3.60% E -1.77% K -3.50% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 00:33
BetAnything1.83I 54.64% NM 52.34%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 47.66%EV -4.55% E -2.26% K -4.50% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 02:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:55
Betway1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:54
Betsson1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.97% E -3.02% K -6.10% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:45
NordicBet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -3.90% E -2.13% K -4.70% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.97% E -3.02% K -6.10% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:45
DraftKings1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.43% E -2.43% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -4.08% E -2.02% K -4.00% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 21:15
Bet Right1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.43% E -2.43% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -4.08% E -2.02% K -4.00% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:29
PlayUp1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -4.43% E -2.43% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95% NM 51.47%EV -4.43% E -2.43% K -5.40% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.53%EV -8.35% E -4.33% K -8.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 22:55
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -4.95% E -2.74% K -6.11% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 02:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:05
BetMGM1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Coral1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:30
888sport1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:30
ReBet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.02% E -2.51% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:39
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56% NM 52.38%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 47.62%EV -5.97% E -3.02% K -6.10% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 02:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -5.48% E -3.04% K -6.85% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -7.40% E -3.79% K -7.79% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 01:03
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87% NM 52.65%EV -6.00% E -3.35% K -7.60% G +0.000%1.99I 50.25% NM 47.35%EV -5.50% E -2.76% K -5.56% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 00:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.52%EV -6.53% E -3.67% K -8.37% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.48%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:05
Neds1.78I 56.18% NM 53.52%EV -6.53% E -3.67% K -8.37% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.48%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:05
Fliff1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -7.05% E -3.98% K -9.16% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -2.65% E -1.29% K -2.52% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:15
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82% NM 52.56%EV -7.58% E -4.31% K -9.97% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.44%EV -7.40% E -3.79% K -7.79% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82% NM 52.43%EV -7.58% E -4.31% K -9.97% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 47.57%EV -7.87% E -4.06% K -8.38% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 00:30
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerAtlanta Braves (Local)New York Mets (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig1.89I 52.91%2.11I 47.39%0.3%2026-07-05 02:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%2.08I 48.08%1.0%2026-07-04 23:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%2.13I 46.95%1.0%2026-07-04 23:50
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%2.08I 48.08%1.3%2026-07-05 02:40
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%2.02I 49.50%4.5%2026-07-05 02:50
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%1.92I 52.08%9.2%2026-07-05 02:35