The School of Odds

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

2026-07-10 18:45 — League of Ireland

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Galway United (Local)

1.5763.69%Min
1.6261.84%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.6859.52%Max
55.25%1.810Min
57.54%1.738Max
57.08%1.752Mean
57.19%1.748Median
57.08%1.752IQM
57.04%1.753Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 57.08%

EV -4.11%Edge -2.45%Kelly -6.05%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sligo Rovers (Visit)

4.2023.81%Min
4.5821.83%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
4.7621.01%Max
19.30%5.182Min
20.65%4.842Max
19.80%5.051Mean
19.79%5.054Median
19.80%5.051IQM
19.82%5.046Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.76 under the IQM model: 19.80%

EV -5.76%Edge -1.21%Kelly -1.53%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.6027.78%Min
3.8825.79%Mean
3.8326.14%Median
4.1723.98%Max
22.63%4.419Min
24.12%4.146Max
23.13%4.324Mean
23.02%4.344Median
23.13%4.324IQM
23.14%4.321Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.17 under the IQM model: 23.13%

EV -3.57%Edge -0.856%Kelly -1.13%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGalway United (Local) ▼Sligo Rovers (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.38%EV -4.11% E -2.45% K -6.05% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.94%EV -5.96% E -1.25% K -1.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -7.50% E -1.87% K -2.50% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 20:30
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98% NM 57.54%EV -6.40% E -3.90% K -9.99% G +0.000%4.76I 21.01% NM 19.83%EV -5.76% E -1.21% K -1.53% G +0.000%4.17I 23.98% NM 22.63%EV -3.57% E -0.856% K -1.13% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 20:25
Bet Right1.64I 60.98% NM 55.85%EV -6.40% E -3.90% K -9.99% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.36%EV -10.91% E -2.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 23.79%EV -10.97% E -2.85% K -3.85% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-03 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 57.27%EV -7.54% E -4.65% K -12.16% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.53%EV -5.96% E -1.25% K -1.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.20%EV -7.50% E -1.87% K -2.50% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-03 21:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 56.58%EV -7.54% E -4.65% K -12.16% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.30%EV -5.96% E -1.25% K -1.59% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -12.12% E -3.19% K -4.33% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-03 22:00
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73% NM 55.80%EV -7.54% E -4.65% K -12.16% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.09%EV -10.91% E -2.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.11%EV -13.28% E -3.54% K -4.83% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-03 20:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11% NM 57.30%EV -8.11% E -5.04% K -13.29% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.63%EV -6.95% E -1.48% K -1.88% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.07%EV -7.50% E -1.87% K -2.50% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-03 20:25
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50% NM 56.29%EV -8.68% E -5.42% K -14.46% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.01%EV -10.91% E -2.42% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.70%EV -12.12% E -3.19% K -4.33% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-03 20:25
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 56.50%EV -10.39% E -6.62% K -18.23% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.16%EV -12.89% E -2.93% K -3.79% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.34%EV -12.12% E -3.19% K -4.33% G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-03 20:25
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 55.25%EV -10.39% E -6.62% K -18.23% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.65%EV -16.84% E -4.01% K -5.26% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.10%EV -16.75% E -4.65% K -6.44% G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-03 20:25
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.