The School of OddsWaterford FC v St Patricks Athletic
Head to Head
Option 1: Waterford FC (Local)
Odds
4.4022.73%Min
5.1119.57%Mean
5.1019.61%Median
5.6717.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
16.58%6.031Min
19.16%5.219Max
17.19%5.819Mean
17.02%5.874Median
17.04%5.869IQM
17.16%5.827Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.67 under the IQM model: 17.04%
EV -3.39%Edge -0.598%Kelly -0.726%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Odds
1.4668.49%Min
1.5564.32%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.6162.11%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.44%1.741Min
61.45%1.627Max
60.03%1.666Mean
60.27%1.659Median
60.33%1.658IQM
60.13%1.663Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.61 under the IQM model: 60.33%
EV -2.87%Edge -1.78%Kelly -4.70%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.8925.71%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
4.2823.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.97%4.552Min
24.18%4.135Max
22.78%4.390Mean
22.71%4.403Median
22.63%4.419IQM
22.71%4.403Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.28 under the IQM model: 22.63%
EV -3.14%Edge -0.733%Kelly -0.957%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Waterford FC (Local) ▼ | St Patricks Athletic (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.67I 17.64% NM 16.58%EV -3.39% E -0.598% K -0.726% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.45%EV -7.70% E -5.03% K -14.52% G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36% NM 21.97%EV -3.14% E -0.733% K -0.957% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.55I 18.02% NM 16.81%EV -5.43% E -0.979% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.98%EV -7.70% E -5.03% K -14.52% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.21%EV -4.95% E -1.18% K -1.55% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-03 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.27%EV -6.29% E -1.14% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.12%EV -4.68% E -2.96% K -8.07% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.61%EV -4.95% E -1.18% K -1.55% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 20:05 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.78%EV -6.29% E -1.14% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.55%EV -6.49% E -4.19% K -11.80% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.67%EV -11.74% E -3.01% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-03 20:15 |
| FanDuel | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -6.29% E -1.14% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -8.90% E -5.90% K -17.45% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -9.48% E -2.37% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-03 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 5.44I 18.38% NM 17.23%EV -7.31% E -1.34% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.46%EV -6.49% E -4.19% K -11.80% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.31%EV -4.95% E -1.18% K -1.55% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-03 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.46%EV -9.69% E -1.83% K -2.25% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.70%EV -6.49% E -4.19% K -11.80% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 22.85%EV -8.34% E -2.06% K -2.74% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Betsson | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.46%EV -9.69% E -1.83% K -2.25% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.70%EV -6.49% E -4.19% K -11.80% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 22.85%EV -8.34% E -2.06% K -2.74% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.49%EV -10.55% E -2.01% K -2.48% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.25%EV -6.49% E -4.19% K -11.80% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.25%EV -10.61% E -2.69% K -3.60% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.10%EV -11.40% E -2.19% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57% NM 60.09%EV -10.71% E -7.24% K -22.32% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.80%EV -11.74% E -3.01% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-03 19:35 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -13.10% E -2.57% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -2.87% E -1.78% K -4.70% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.38%EV -14.80% E -2.96% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.44%EV -3.47% E -2.17% K -5.79% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.18%EV -14.00% E -3.68% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.18%EV -14.80% E -2.96% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 57.90%EV -5.28% E -3.36% K -9.27% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.92%EV -14.00% E -3.68% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -14.80% E -2.96% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -9.51% E -6.34% K -19.01% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -9.48% E -2.37% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-03 19:35 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.85%EV -14.80% E -2.96% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 58.34%EV -7.70% E -5.03% K -14.52% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.80%EV -15.13% E -4.04% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-03 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.36%EV -16.51% E -3.37% K -4.23% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 57.66%EV -5.89% E -3.77% K -10.51% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.99%EV -15.13% E -4.04% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.36%EV -16.51% E -3.37% K -4.23% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 57.66%EV -5.89% E -3.77% K -10.51% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.99%EV -15.13% E -4.04% K -5.50% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83% NM 18.34%EV -18.21% E -3.79% K -4.79% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 57.54%EV -7.70% E -5.03% K -14.52% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 24.12%EV -17.40% E -4.77% K -6.56% G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83% NM 17.98%EV -18.21% E -3.79% K -4.79% G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03% NM 58.70%EV -11.32% E -7.70% K -24.07% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.32%EV -16.26% E -4.40% K -6.02% G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Sky Bet | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.23%EV -19.06% E -4.01% K -5.08% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 57.72%EV -9.51% E -6.34% K -19.01% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.05%EV -18.53% E -5.15% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-07-03 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74% NM 18.93%EV -21.62% E -4.70% K -6.01% G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11% NM 58.45%EV -10.11% E -6.78% K -20.63% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.62%EV -12.87% E -3.34% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.40I 22.73% NM 19.16%EV -25.03% E -5.69% K -7.36% G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49% NM 57.74%EV -11.92% E -8.16% K -25.91% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 23.10%EV -17.40% E -4.77% K -6.56% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-03 19:50 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.