The School of Odds

Athletics v Miami Marlins

2026-07-05 20:31 — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Athletics (Local)

1.7457.47%Min
1.8055.61%Mean
1.7955.87%Median
1.8952.91%Max
51.66%1.936Min
54.26%1.843Max
53.01%1.887Mean
53.24%1.878Median
53.05%1.885IQM
52.93%1.889Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.89 under the IQM model: 53.05%

EV +0.271%Edge +0.143%Kelly +0.304%Growth +0.001%

Option 2: Miami Marlins (Visit)

1.9651.02%Min
2.0349.23%Mean
2.0449.02%Median
2.1047.62%Max
45.74%2.186Min
48.34%2.069Max
46.99%2.128Mean
46.76%2.139Median
46.95%2.130IQM
47.07%2.124Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 46.95%

EV -1.41%Edge -0.672%Kelly -1.28%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAthletics (Local) ▼Miami Marlins (Visit)MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91% NM 51.66%EV +0.271% E +0.143% K +0.304% G +0.001%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.34%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:35
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91% NM 51.66%EV +0.271% E +0.143% K +0.304% G +0.001%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.34%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:35
GTbets1.89I 52.91% NM 51.66%EV +0.271% E +0.143% K +0.304% G +0.001%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.34%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:35
BetUS1.89I 52.91% NM 51.66%EV +0.271% E +0.143% K +0.304% G +0.001%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.34%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:45
1xBet1.87I 53.48% NM 52.42%EV -0.790% E -0.423% K -0.908% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 47.58%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 02:35
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76% NM 52.43%EV -1.32% E -0.710% K -1.54% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 47.57%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 02:40
Bovada1.83I 54.64% NM 52.34%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 47.66%EV -5.64% E -2.80% K -5.58% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 02:35
BetAnything1.83I 54.64% NM 52.34%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 47.66%EV -5.64% E -2.80% K -5.58% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 02:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:35
BetMGM1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:34
Coral1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:35
Neds1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -3.44% E -1.89% K -4.20% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -3.44% E -1.89% K -4.20% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 00:35
FanDuel1.81I 55.25% NM 53.23%EV -3.97% E -2.20% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.77%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 00:30
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25% NM 53.23%EV -3.97% E -2.20% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.77%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 00:29
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -3.97% E -2.20% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 02:34
Betway1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:44
Caesars1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:14
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:54
Bet Right1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -4.23% E -2.07% K -4.07% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:35
PlayUp1.80I 55.56% NM 52.88%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.12%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:05
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:49
DraftKings1.79I 55.87% NM 53.26%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.74%EV -4.23% E -2.07% K -4.07% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 21:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:20
Betsson1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.89%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 46.11%EV -2.35% E -1.13% K -2.18% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:20
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.89%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 46.11%EV -2.35% E -1.13% K -2.18% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:20
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18% NM 53.89%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 46.11%EV -2.35% E -1.13% K -2.18% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:20
Casumo1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
Unibet1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
betPARX1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.29% E -1.60% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.40%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.60%EV -4.23% E -2.07% K -4.07% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.57% E -3.13% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 21:45
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -1.41% E -0.672% K -1.28% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:45
SportsBet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:35
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:20
TABtouch1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:20
BetRivers1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:20
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:20
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50% NM 53.30%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.70%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:49
ReBet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.10% E -3.44% K -7.92% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 00:30
888sport1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -7.16% E -4.09% K -9.54% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 21:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -7.16% E -4.09% K -9.54% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -7.16% E -4.09% K -9.54% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -3.76% E -1.83% K -3.58% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 21:45
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -7.16% E -4.09% K -9.54% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -6.11% E -3.05% K -6.11% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 01:03
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47% NM 53.72%EV -7.69% E -4.42% K -10.39% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.28%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47% NM 53.10%EV -7.69% E -4.42% K -10.39% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 46.90%EV -7.52% E -3.81% K -7.75% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 02:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47% NM 52.97%EV -7.69% E -4.42% K -10.39% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 47.03%EV -7.98% E -4.07% K -8.32% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 00:25
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerAthletics (Local)Miami Marlins (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%2.15I 46.51%-1.1%2026-07-05 00:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%2.08I 48.08%1.0%2026-07-04 22:15
Novig1.89I 52.91%2.08I 48.08%1.0%2026-07-05 02:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%2.13I 46.95%1.0%2026-07-05 00:05
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%2.08I 48.08%1.6%2026-07-05 02:35
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%2.00I 50.00%5.6%2026-07-05 02:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%1.95I 51.28%9.1%2026-07-05 02:30