The School of Odds

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-07-05 18:30 — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Cubs (Local)

1.6062.50%Min
1.6560.46%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.6959.17%Max
56.85%1.759Min
58.67%1.704Max
57.78%1.731Mean
57.82%1.730Median
57.83%1.729IQM
57.80%1.730Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.69 under the IQM model: 57.83%

EV -2.27%Edge -1.35%Kelly -3.30%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

2.1546.51%Min
2.2644.29%Mean
2.2544.44%Median
2.3442.74%Max
41.33%2.420Min
43.15%2.317Max
42.22%2.369Mean
42.18%2.371Median
42.17%2.371IQM
42.20%2.370Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.34 under the IQM model: 42.17%

EV -1.31%Edge -0.560%Kelly -0.979%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChicago Cubs (Local) ▼St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -1.73% E -0.744% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:25
1xBet1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -1.73% E -0.744% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -2.58% E -1.12% K -1.97% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:25
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -2.58% E -1.12% K -1.97% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:25
BetUS1.69I 59.17% NM 57.64%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.36%EV -3.00% E -1.30% K -2.31% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 01:10
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 23:40
BetAnything1.69I 59.17% NM 57.00%EV -2.27% E -1.35% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 43.00%EV -5.53% E -2.47% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 02:35
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52% NM 58.21%EV -2.85% E -1.70% K -4.20% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.79%EV -1.31% E -0.560% K -0.979% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 02:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -2.85% E -1.70% K -4.20% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -5.53% E -2.47% K -4.46% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.43% E -2.05% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -3.00% E -1.30% K -2.31% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 02:30
Betway1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.43% E -2.05% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:25
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.43% E -2.05% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:54
Fliff1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.43% E -2.05% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -7.22% E -3.28% K -6.01% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24% NM 57.87%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.13%EV -3.84% E -1.69% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:40
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24% NM 57.87%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.13%EV -3.84% E -1.69% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:40
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24% NM 57.87%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.13%EV -3.84% E -1.69% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:45
Casumo1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:40
Unibet1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:40
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:40
betPARX1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:40
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:40
NordicBet1.66I 60.24% NM 57.22%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.78%EV -6.37% E -2.87% K -5.22% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:20
Betsson1.66I 60.24% NM 57.22%EV -4.01% E -2.42% K -6.08% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.78%EV -6.37% E -2.87% K -5.22% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:25
Caesars1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.00% E -1.30% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 00:24
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.00% E -1.30% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:40
Fanatics1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.00% E -1.30% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61% NM 58.12%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 41.88%EV -3.42% E -1.49% K -2.65% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:35
Bet Right1.65I 60.61% NM 57.80%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.20%EV -4.69% E -2.07% K -3.72% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 00:25
888sport1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
PlayUp1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Neds1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Coral1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:35
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:45
BetRivers1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -7.22% E -3.28% K -6.01% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 22:25
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.59% E -2.78% K -7.06% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -7.22% E -3.28% K -6.01% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 22:25
DraftKings1.64I 60.98% NM 58.27%EV -5.17% E -3.15% K -8.07% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 41.73%EV -3.42% E -1.49% K -2.65% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -5.17% E -3.15% K -8.07% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -4.26% E -1.88% K -3.36% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:25
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.95%EV -5.17% E -3.15% K -8.07% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.05%EV -4.69% E -2.07% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 02:34
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.17% E -3.15% K -8.07% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.17% E -3.15% K -8.07% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:25
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.88%EV -5.74% E -3.52% K -9.12% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.12%EV -5.53% E -2.47% K -4.46% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -6.32% E -3.90% K -10.20% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.00% E -1.30% K -2.31% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:59
ReBet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.32% E -3.90% K -10.20% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.32% E -3.90% K -10.20% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.32% E -3.90% K -10.20% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -7.22% E -3.28% K -6.01% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 02:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.90% E -4.29% K -11.31% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -5.11% E -2.27% K -4.09% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:03
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -7.48% E -4.67% K -12.47% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -7.22% E -3.28% K -6.01% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.33%EV -7.48% E -4.67% K -12.47% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.67%EV -9.32% E -4.34% K -8.11% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 00:25
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerChicago Cubs (Local)St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig1.71I 58.48%2.35I 42.55%1.0%2026-07-05 02:45
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%2.33I 42.92%1.1%2026-07-04 21:15
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%2.33I 42.92%1.1%2026-07-04 21:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%2.27I 44.05%3.6%2026-07-05 02:30
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%2.14I 46.73%10.0%2026-07-05 00:25