The School of Odds

Birmingham Bears v Gloucestershire

2026-07-05 14:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Birmingham Bears (Local)

Odds
1.6560.61%Min
1.7656.76%Mean
1.7756.50%Median
1.8554.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.94%1.963Min
55.50%1.802Max
53.50%1.869Mean
53.06%1.885Median
53.44%1.871IQM
53.35%1.875Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 53.44%

EV -1.13%Edge -0.612%Kelly -1.33%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Gloucestershire (Visit)

Odds
1.9052.63%Min
2.0249.44%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.1247.17%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.50%2.247Min
49.06%2.038Max
46.50%2.150Mean
46.94%2.131Median
46.56%2.148IQM
46.65%2.143Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.12 under the IQM model: 46.56%

EV -1.30%Edge -0.612%Kelly -1.16%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBirmingham Bears (Local) ▼Gloucestershire (Visit)MarginUpdated
Betsson1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -1.13% E -0.612% K -1.33% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -9.21% E -4.72% K -9.70% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:34
NordicBet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -1.13% E -0.612% K -1.33% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -9.21% E -4.72% K -9.70% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:35
TAB1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -1.13% E -0.612% K -1.33% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -9.21% E -4.72% K -9.70% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64% NM 50.94%EV -2.20% E -1.20% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 49.06%EV -11.54% E -6.07% K -12.82% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 21:40
888sport1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -3.80% E -2.11% K -4.76% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:35
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -3.80% E -2.11% K -4.76% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -3.80% E -2.11% K -4.76% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -3.80% E -2.11% K -4.76% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -9.21% E -4.72% K -9.70% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 02:09
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18% NM 52.53%EV -4.87% E -2.74% K -6.25% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 47.47%EV -8.28% E -4.20% K -8.54% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 21:05
Unibet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:04
TABtouch1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:05
Casumo1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:05
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:04
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -5.41% E -3.06% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.88% E -3.44% K -6.88% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -7.55% E -4.36% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 02:00
Coral1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -7.55% E -4.36% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -7.55% E -4.36% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -7.55% E -4.36% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -7.55% E -4.36% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:59
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80% NM 53.49%EV -7.55% E -4.36% K -10.34% G +0.000%1.99I 50.25% NM 46.51%EV -7.35% E -3.69% K -7.42% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 02:00
Neds1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -8.08% E -4.70% K -11.22% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 01:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -8.08% E -4.70% K -11.22% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -8.08% E -4.70% K -11.22% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -2.23% E -1.06% K -2.03% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 01:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -9.15% E -5.38% K -13.07% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -1.30% E -0.612% K -1.16% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 02:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88% NM 55.11%EV -10.75% E -6.44% K -16.05% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.89%EV -4.56% E -2.22% K -4.34% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 01:59
Betway1.65I 60.61% NM 55.41%EV -11.82% E -7.16% K -18.19% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.59%EV -4.56% E -2.22% K -4.34% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 02:00
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerBirmingham Bears (Local)Gloucestershire (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%2.26I 44.25%0.4%2026-07-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%2.26I 44.25%0.7%2026-07-05 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%2.26I 44.25%0.7%2026-07-05 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%2.26I 44.25%0.7%2026-07-05 02:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%2.22I 45.05%1.2%2026-07-05 01:35