Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-07-05 04:30 — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis)

Option 1: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Odds

1.5265.79%Min

1.5962.85%Mean

1.5962.89%Median

1.6560.61%Max

Consensus probabilities

58.31%1.715Min

60.72%1.647Max

59.28%1.687Mean

59.13%1.691Median

59.16%1.690IQM

59.27%1.687Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 59.16%

EV -2.38%Edge -1.44%Kelly -3.66%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.3043.44%Mean

2.3043.48%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.28%2.546Min

41.69%2.399Max

40.72%2.456Mean

40.87%2.447Median

40.84%2.449IQM

40.73%2.455Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.84%

EV -1.99%Edge -0.831%Kelly -1.42%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local) ▼	Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.38% E -1.44% K -3.66% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -4.04% E -1.72% K -2.99% G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-04 14:49
LowVig.ag	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.38% E -1.44% K -3.66% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -4.04% E -1.72% K -2.99% G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-04 14:50
1xBet	1.64I 60.98% NM 58.90%EV -2.97% E -1.81% K -4.64% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 41.10%EV -4.04% E -1.72% K -2.99% G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-07-04 19:25
Pinnacle	1.63I 61.35% NM 59.45%EV -3.56% E -2.19% K -5.65% G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84% NM 40.55%EV -2.40% E -1.01% K -1.73% G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-04 19:30
William Hill	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.94%EV -3.56% E -2.19% K -5.65% G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74% NM 41.06%EV -4.44% E -1.90% K -3.32% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-04 14:49
BetUS	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -3.56% E -2.19% K -5.65% G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -6.89% E -3.02% K -5.39% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 19:24
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.70%EV -4.15% E -2.56% K -6.70% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.30%EV -1.99% E -0.831% K -1.42% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-04 18:40
Betsson	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.15% E -2.56% K -6.70% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:50
NordicBet	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.15% E -2.56% K -6.70% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 14:50
Coolbet	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.14%EV -4.75% E -2.95% K -7.78% G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92% NM 40.86%EV -4.85% E -2.08% K -3.65% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-04 15:00
DraftKings	1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.75% E -2.95% K -7.78% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-04 19:40
FanDuel	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.95%EV -5.93% E -3.73% K -10.05% G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02% NM 40.05%EV -2.81% E -1.18% K -2.04% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-04 18:35
MyBookie.ag	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.34%EV -5.93% E -3.73% K -10.05% G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.66%EV -5.26% E -2.27% K -3.99% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-04 18:38
Caesars	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.93% E -3.73% K -10.05% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 14:50
Hard Rock Bet	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.93% E -3.73% K -10.05% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 18:35
Bovada	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.93% E -3.73% K -10.05% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-04 14:54
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.11% E -4.53% K -12.48% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 18:35
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.11% E -4.53% K -12.48% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 19:05
888sport	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.11% E -4.53% K -12.48% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.12% E -3.61% K -6.50% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-04 14:50
Betway	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.11% E -4.53% K -12.48% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.12% E -3.61% K -6.50% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-04 17:05
Mr Green (SE)	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.11% E -4.53% K -12.48% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.12% E -3.61% K -6.50% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-04 14:50
888sport (SE)	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.11% E -4.53% K -12.48% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.12% E -3.61% K -6.50% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-04 14:50
Everygame	1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -8.30% E -5.35% K -15.08% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -6.08% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-04 18:35
Betclic (FR)	1.54I 64.94% NM 58.93%EV -8.89% E -5.77% K -16.46% G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25% NM 41.07%EV -9.75% E -4.41% K -8.06% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-04 18:33
ReBet	1.54I 64.94% NM 58.82%EV -8.89% E -5.77% K -16.46% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.18%EV -10.16% E -4.62% K -8.47% G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-04 18:35
Unibet (FR)	1.53I 65.36% NM 58.98%EV -9.48% E -6.20% K -17.88% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.02%EV -10.16% E -4.62% K -8.47% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-04 18:34
Tipico (DE)	1.52I 65.79% NM 60.72%EV -10.07% E -6.63% K -19.37% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.28%EV -4.04% E -1.72% K -2.99% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-04 18:34

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.