The School of Odds

Los Angeles Angels v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-05 01:39 — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

Option 1: Los Angeles Angels (Local)

2.1546.51%Min
2.3143.22%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4341.15%Max
40.29%2.482Min
41.73%2.396Max
41.04%2.437Mean
41.03%2.437Median
41.03%2.437IQM
40.96%2.441Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.43 under the IQM model: 41.03%

EV -0.297%Edge -0.122%Kelly -0.208%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Boston Red Sox (Visit)

1.5464.94%Min
1.6161.99%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.6759.88%Max
58.27%1.716Min
59.71%1.675Max
58.96%1.696Mean
58.97%1.696Median
58.97%1.696IQM
59.04%1.694Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.67 under the IQM model: 58.97%

EV -1.52%Edge -0.910%Kelly -2.27%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLos Angeles Angels (Local) ▼Boston Red Sox (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets2.43I 41.15% NM 40.29%EV -0.297% E -0.122% K -0.208% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 59.71%EV -3.29% E -2.01% K -5.14% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-03 18:20
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49% NM 40.49%EV -1.12% E -0.464% K -0.793% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 59.51%EV -3.29% E -2.01% K -5.14% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-03 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49% NM 40.49%EV -1.12% E -0.464% K -0.793% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 59.51%EV -3.29% E -2.01% K -5.14% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-03 18:10
1xBet2.38I 42.02% NM 41.23%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 58.77%EV -1.52% E -0.910% K -2.27% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-03 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.95%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 59.05%EV -3.88% E -2.38% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-03 17:34
Caesars2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 18:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 19:10
FanDuel2.34I 42.74% NM 41.06%EV -3.99% E -1.71% K -2.98% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 58.94%EV -3.88% E -2.38% K -6.16% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-03 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92% NM 41.01%EV -4.40% E -1.89% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.99%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Right2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -4.81% E -2.07% K -3.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 17:40
PlayUp2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -3.88% E -2.38% K -6.16% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 18:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 17:40
888sport2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 17:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 17:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 17:39
Coolbet2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 17:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:10
SportsBet2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -6.45% E -2.83% K -5.04% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 17:35
ReBet2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 19:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45% NM 41.33%EV -9.73% E -4.42% K -8.11% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 58.67%EV -8.60% E -5.55% K -15.63% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-03 19:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 41.73%EV -11.79% E -5.48% K -10.25% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 58.27%EV -9.19% E -5.96% K -17.01% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-03 19:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLos Angeles Angels (Local)Boston Red Sox (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%1.69I 59.17%1.2%2026-07-03 19:00
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%1.69I 59.17%1.2%2026-07-03 19:40
Novig2.30I 43.48%1.55I 64.52%8.0%2026-07-03 19:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%1.55I 64.52%10.0%2026-07-03 19:30