Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -0.272%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%44.70%44.82%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2350.00%47.03%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 55.28%1.81fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.30%55.18%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.22%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 44.72%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 55.28%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.272%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -0.272%E -0.122%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -6.58%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -0.272%E -0.122%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -6.58%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.58%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 06:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-18 02:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.95%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.95%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -2.95%E -1.36%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.58%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 02:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.05%E -0.587%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-18 08:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 02:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 01:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 07:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 08:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 07:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 08:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:14 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 07:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.58%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 19:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.98%E -3.36%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 08:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-18 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 19:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -8.77%E -4.30%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.16%E -1.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 08:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 08:25 |