Houston Astros v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-07-04 23:11 — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis)

Option 1: Houston Astros (Local)

Odds

1.8055.56%Min

1.8952.78%Mean

1.9052.63%Median

1.9651.02%Max

Consensus probabilities

50.00%2.000Min

50.64%1.975Max

50.23%1.991Mean

50.26%1.990Median

50.19%1.992IQM

50.25%1.990Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.96 under the IQM model: 50.19%

EV -1.63%Edge -0.830%Kelly -1.70%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Odds

1.8254.95%Min

1.9152.32%Mean

1.9152.36%Median

1.9850.51%Max

Consensus probabilities

49.36%2.026Min

50.00%2.000Max

49.77%2.009Mean

49.74%2.011Median

49.81%2.008IQM

49.75%2.010Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.98 under the IQM model: 49.81%

EV -1.38%Edge -0.695%Kelly -1.40%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Houston Astros (Local) ▼	Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%EV -1.63% E -0.830% K -1.70% G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%EV -2.37% E -1.21% K -2.47% G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-03 18:00
BetOnline.ag	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.64%EV -3.13% E -1.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 49.36%EV -1.38% E -0.695% K -1.40% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-03 18:04
LowVig.ag	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.64%EV -3.13% E -1.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 49.36%EV -1.38% E -0.695% K -1.40% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-03 18:05
GTbets	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.64%EV -3.13% E -1.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 49.36%EV -1.38% E -0.695% K -1.40% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-03 18:20
FanDuel	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.00%EV -3.13% E -1.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.00%EV -3.87% E -2.00% K -4.16% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-03 17:25
Fanatics	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:50
Bet Right	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:35
William Hill	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 17:35
888sport (SE)	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:35
888sport	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:35
Caesars	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.14% E -2.17% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:33
Unibet (UK)	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.26%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.74%EV -4.36% E -2.27% K -4.74% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:35
Paddy Power	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 17:30
SportsBet	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 17:30
Betsson	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:35
NordicBet	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:35
Betr (AU)	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.64% E -2.44% K -5.15% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:35
DraftKings	1.89I 52.91% NM 50.52%EV -5.14% E -2.72% K -5.78% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.48%EV -3.87% E -2.00% K -4.16% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:35
Coolbet	1.89I 52.91% NM 50.39%EV -5.14% E -2.72% K -5.78% G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.61%EV -4.36% E -2.27% K -4.74% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:10
PlayUp	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -5.64% E -3.00% K -6.41% G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -4.36% E -2.27% K -4.74% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:50
Winamax (DE)	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.26%EV -5.64% E -3.00% K -6.41% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 49.74%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 19:35
Fliff	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -6.14% E -3.29% K -7.06% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 17:30
Bet Victor	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -6.14% E -3.29% K -7.06% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -4.86% E -2.55% K -5.34% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 19:35
Betclic (FR)	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.40%EV -6.14% E -3.29% K -7.06% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 49.60%EV -5.36% E -2.82% K -5.96% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 19:34
ReBet	1.83I 54.64% NM 50.54%EV -8.15% E -4.45% K -9.82% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 49.46%EV -6.86% E -3.67% K -7.88% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-03 19:10
Unibet (FR)	1.81I 55.25% NM 50.27%EV -9.16% E -5.06% K -11.30% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 49.73%EV -8.85% E -4.83% K -10.66% G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-03 19:35
Winamax (FR)	1.80I 55.56% NM 50.28%EV -9.66% E -5.37% K -12.07% G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95% NM 49.72%EV -9.35% E -5.13% K -11.40% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-03 19:35

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Houston Astros (Local)	Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.00I 50.00%	1.96I 51.02%	1.0%	2026-07-03 17:25
Kalshi	1.96I 51.02%	2.00I 50.00%	1.0%	2026-07-03 19:50
Novig	1.85I 54.05%	1.83I 54.64%	8.7%	2026-07-03 19:55
Smarkets	1.81I 55.25%	1.83I 54.64%	9.9%	2026-07-03 19:35