The School of Odds

Toledo Mud Hens v Iowa Cubs

2026-07-04 23:05 — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

1.6859.52%Min
1.7357.76%Mean
1.7457.47%Median
1.7557.14%Max
53.87%1.856Min
55.32%1.808Max
54.33%1.841Mean
54.09%1.849Median
54.09%1.849IQM
54.30%1.842Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.75 under the IQM model: 54.09%

EV -5.34%Edge -3.05%Kelly -7.12%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Iowa Cubs (Visit)

2.0249.50%Min
2.0548.75%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.0848.08%Max
44.68%2.238Min
46.13%2.168Max
45.67%2.190Mean
45.91%2.178Median
45.91%2.178IQM
45.70%2.188Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.08 under the IQM model: 45.91%

EV -4.51%Edge -2.17%Kelly -4.17%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerToledo Mud Hens (Local) ▼Iowa Cubs (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.75I 57.14% NM 54.07%EV -5.34% E -3.05% K -7.12% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 45.93%EV -5.42% E -2.63% K -5.12% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 12:25
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:30
Caesars1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:30
Bovada1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 13:43
1xBet1.73I 57.80% NM 53.87%EV -6.42% E -3.71% K -8.80% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.13%EV -7.26% E -3.59% K -7.12% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 15:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52% NM 55.32%EV -9.13% E -5.43% K -13.43% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 44.68%EV -4.51% E -2.17% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.