The School of Odds

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-05 19:01 — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Kansas City Royals (Local)

2.0548.78%Min
2.1646.36%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.2544.44%Max
43.15%2.317Min
45.03%2.221Max
44.21%2.262Mean
44.17%2.264Median
44.19%2.263IQM
44.20%2.263Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 44.19%

EV -0.573%Edge -0.254%Kelly -0.458%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

1.6660.24%Min
1.7158.42%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.7656.82%Max
54.97%1.819Min
56.85%1.759Max
55.79%1.792Mean
55.83%1.791Median
55.81%1.792IQM
55.80%1.792Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.76 under the IQM model: 55.81%

EV -1.77%Edge -1.01%Kelly -2.33%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

BookmakerKansas City Royals (Local) ▼Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV -0.573% E -0.254% K -0.458% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 21:40
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -1.90% E -0.855% K -1.56% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -1.90% E -0.855% K -1.56% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:40
BetUS2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -1.90% E -0.855% K -1.56% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:15
1xBet2.21I 45.25% NM 44.33%EV -2.34% E -1.06% K -1.93% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 55.67%EV -1.77% E -1.01% K -2.33% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:30
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25% NM 44.19%EV -2.34% E -1.06% K -1.93% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 55.81%EV -2.33% E -1.33% K -3.11% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 00:40
Betway2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -2.78% E -1.26% K -2.32% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 00:29
Coral2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -2.78% E -1.26% K -2.32% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -2.78% E -1.26% K -2.32% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -2.78% E -1.26% K -2.32% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.80% E -4.07% K -10.15% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:00
DraftKings2.19I 45.66% NM 43.70%EV -3.22% E -1.47% K -2.71% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.30%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 00:30
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87% NM 44.10%EV -3.67% E -1.68% K -3.11% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.90%EV -4.01% E -2.33% K -5.56% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 00:29
Caesars2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV -3.67% E -1.68% K -3.11% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:29
BetMGM2.18I 45.87% NM 43.67%EV -3.67% E -1.68% K -3.11% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.33%EV -5.68% E -3.36% K -8.23% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:29
Bovada2.17I 46.08% NM 44.07%EV -4.11% E -1.89% K -3.51% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.93%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:35
FanDuel2.16I 46.30% NM 44.62%EV -4.55% E -2.11% K -3.92% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.38%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30% NM 44.47%EV -4.55% E -2.11% K -3.92% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.53%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:15
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30% NM 44.47%EV -4.55% E -2.11% K -3.92% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.53%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:15
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30% NM 44.47%EV -4.55% E -2.11% K -3.92% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.53%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:15
NordicBet2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -4.55% E -2.11% K -3.92% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -5.68% E -3.36% K -8.23% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 00:30
Betsson2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -4.55% E -2.11% K -3.92% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -5.68% E -3.36% K -8.23% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 00:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:40
BetAnything2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.89% E -1.66% K -3.91% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 02:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
888sport2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Neds2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.12% E -3.01% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
Fliff2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -5.68% E -3.36% K -8.23% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 21:20
ReBet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -5.68% E -3.36% K -8.23% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.80% E -4.07% K -10.15% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.80% E -4.07% K -10.15% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 00:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -4.99% E -2.32% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.80% E -4.07% K -10.15% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
Casumo2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
Unibet2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
betPARX2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -3.45% E -1.99% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -4.56% E -2.67% K -6.43% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.14I 46.73% NM 44.13%EV -5.43% E -2.54% K -4.77% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 55.87%EV -5.68% E -3.36% K -8.23% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -6.32% E -2.98% K -5.64% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.01% E -2.33% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
BetRivers2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -6.32% E -2.98% K -5.64% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.01% E -2.33% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -6.32% E -2.98% K -5.64% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.01% E -2.33% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
TABtouch2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -6.32% E -2.98% K -5.64% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.01% E -2.33% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -7.20% E -3.43% K -6.55% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -4.01% E -2.33% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:20
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62% NM 44.44%EV -7.20% E -3.43% K -6.55% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.56%EV -6.24% E -3.71% K -9.18% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 01:15
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.15%EV -7.20% E -3.43% K -6.55% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 55.85%EV -7.36% E -4.43% K -11.14% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 44.74%EV -9.41% E -4.59% K -8.96% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 55.26%EV -7.36% E -4.43% K -11.14% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 00:25
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerKansas City Royals (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig2.25I 44.44%1.79I 55.87%0.3%2026-07-05 02:22
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%1.75I 57.14%1.2%2026-07-05 00:40
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%1.77I 56.50%1.3%2026-07-05 02:15
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%1.75I 57.14%2.2%2026-07-05 02:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%1.69I 59.17%5.9%2026-07-05 02:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%1.64I 60.98%9.5%2026-07-05 02:45