The School of OddsKansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies
Head to Head
Option 1: Kansas City Royals (Local)
Odds
2.1047.62%Min
2.2444.72%Mean
2.2544.44%Median
2.3842.02%Max
Consensus probabilities
41.23%2.425Min
43.24%2.313Max
42.67%2.344Mean
42.84%2.334Median
42.81%2.336IQM
42.67%2.344Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 42.81%
EV +1.88%Edge +0.791%Kelly +1.37%Growth +0.026%
Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Odds
1.5863.29%Min
1.6660.41%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7158.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
56.76%1.762Min
58.77%1.702Max
57.33%1.744Mean
57.16%1.749Median
57.19%1.749IQM
57.33%1.744Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 57.19%
EV -2.20%Edge -1.29%Kelly -3.10%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Kansas City Royals (Local) ▼ | Philadelphia Phillies (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02% NM 41.23%EV +1.88% E +0.791% K +1.37% G +0.026% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 58.77%EV -4.49% E -2.69% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-03 18:00 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48% NM 42.64%EV -1.54% E -0.670% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48% NM 57.36%EV -2.20% E -1.29% K -3.10% G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-03 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -1.54% E -0.670% K -1.19% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05% NM 42.96%EV -2.83% E -1.24% K -2.22% G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48% NM 57.04%EV -2.20% E -1.29% K -3.10% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-03 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05% NM 42.96%EV -2.83% E -1.24% K -2.22% G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48% NM 57.04%EV -2.20% E -1.29% K -3.10% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-03 18:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -2.83% E -1.24% K -2.22% G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -6.21% E -3.78% K -9.70% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25% NM 42.20%EV -3.25% E -1.44% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.80%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25% NM 41.75%EV -3.25% E -1.44% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.25%EV -7.35% E -4.54% K -11.85% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -3.35% E -1.98% K -4.85% G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-03 18:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -4.49% E -2.69% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.21% E -3.78% K -9.70% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -3.68% E -1.64% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -7.35% E -4.54% K -11.85% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -4.54% E -2.03% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -4.49% E -2.69% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Caesars | 2.22I 45.05% NM 43.22%EV -4.97% E -2.24% K -4.07% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 56.78%EV -3.35% E -1.98% K -4.85% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-03 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -4.97% E -2.24% K -4.07% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -4.49% E -2.69% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.21I 45.25% NM 42.75%EV -5.39% E -2.44% K -4.46% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.25%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.82% E -2.65% K -4.85% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.49% E -2.69% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -5.82% E -2.65% K -4.85% G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -5.06% E -3.05% K -7.67% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.82% E -2.65% K -4.85% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -5.63% E -3.41% K -8.67% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-03 19:09 |
| ReBet | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -7.96% E -3.70% K -6.92% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -7.35% E -4.54% K -11.85% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.24%EV -10.10% E -4.81% K -9.18% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 56.76%EV -8.49% E -5.31% K -14.16% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 42.93%EV -10.10% E -4.81% K -9.18% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 57.07%EV -9.64% E -6.10% K -16.62% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Kansas City Royals (Local) | Philadelphia Phillies (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92% | 1.75I 57.14% | 0.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44% | 1.74I 57.47% | 1.9% | 2026-07-03 19:53 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05% | 1.72I 58.14% | 2.2% | 2026-07-03 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62% | 1.60I 62.50% | 10.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |