Language:English
Flamengo-RJ v Estudiantes La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Prediction 63.90%1.56fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.76%63.81%63.99%65.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.461.5373.53%68.52%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 12.60%7.94fair odd
EV +9.62%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 8.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.14%12.72%12.49%15.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.247.308.7016.67%13.81%13.70%11.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.50%4.26fair odd
EV -0.850%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%23.47%23.52%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.854.2227.78%25.65%25.97%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flamengo-RJ (Local): 63.90%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 12.60%; Draw: 23.50%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.94. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.91%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.14%EV +9.62%E +1.11%K +1.25%G +0.120% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.96%EV -0.850%E -0.201%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-23 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.91%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.14%EV +9.62%E +1.11%K +1.25%G +0.120% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.96%EV -0.850%E -0.201%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-23 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.50%E -2.32%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV +7.10%E +0.835%K +0.946%G +0.067% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-23 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.27%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.39I 11.92%NM 11.44%EV +5.71%E +0.681%K +0.773%G +0.044% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.29%EV -3.20%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.49%EV +2.06%E +0.254%K +0.290%G +0.006% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-22 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +0.798%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-22 23:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.798%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.98%EV -1.72%E -0.221%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.32%E -0.314%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-23 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.20%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.34%EV -2.98%E -0.387%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -4.84%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-22 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-22 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.50%E -0.734%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.61%EV -8.02%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.61%EV -8.02%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.34%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -8.65%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -8.65%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-23 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.14%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.29%EV -10.79%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.58%EV -6.25%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-23 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.21%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.49%EV -11.42%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.30%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.80%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.10%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.80%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-22 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.42%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -11.80%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.64%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -14.32%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -14.95%E -2.22%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -14.95%E -2.22%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-23 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -6.70%E -4.59%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -14.95%E -2.22%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -6.70%E -4.59%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -14.95%E -2.22%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.15%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.17%EV -14.95%E -2.22%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-23 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.10%EV -9.89%E -7.02%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -16.84%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.94%EV -13.09%E -9.62%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.18%EV -16.84%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -18.10%E -2.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -18.10%E -2.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -3.50%E -2.32%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -21.25%E -3.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.39%EV -6.06%E -4.12%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -21.25%E -3.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -24.40%E -4.07%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -24.40%E -4.07%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -24.40%E -4.07%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-23 00:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.93% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-10-23 00:25 |