Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

2026-07-04 09:00 — NPB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Odds

1.7457.47%Min

1.8554.05%Mean

1.8554.05%Median

1.9551.28%Max

Consensus probabilities

48.41%2.066Min

52.70%1.897Max

51.15%1.955Mean

51.12%1.956Median

51.19%1.953IQM

51.13%1.956Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 51.19%

EV -0.176%Edge -0.090%Kelly -0.185%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Odds

1.8354.64%Min

1.9152.40%Mean

1.9152.36%Median

2.0050.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

47.30%2.114Min

51.59%1.938Max

48.85%2.047Mean

48.88%2.046Median

48.81%2.049IQM

48.87%2.046Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 48.81%

EV -2.38%Edge -1.19%Kelly -2.38%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local) ▼	Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -0.176% E -0.090% K -0.185% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-03 16:54
PMU (FR)	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -0.688% E -0.355% K -0.732% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -0.688% E -0.355% K -0.732% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 16:54
Unibet (SE)	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -0.688% E -0.355% K -0.732% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 16:55
BetRivers	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -0.688% E -0.355% K -0.732% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 16:55
Bally Bet	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -0.688% E -0.355% K -0.732% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 16:54
Pinnacle	1.89I 52.91% NM 51.41%EV -3.25% E -1.72% K -3.65% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 48.59%EV -2.38% E -1.19% K -2.38% G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-07-03 19:20
1xBet	1.89I 52.91% NM 51.04%EV -3.25% E -1.72% K -3.65% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.96%EV -3.85% E -1.95% K -3.97% G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-03 15:55
BetUS	1.89I 52.91% NM 49.73%EV -3.25% E -1.72% K -3.65% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.27%EV -8.73% E -4.67% K -10.03% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 18:04
FanDuel	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.17%EV -4.27% E -2.28% K -4.91% G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02% NM 48.83%EV -4.34% E -2.21% K -4.52% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-03 15:55
Fanatics	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.27% E -2.28% K -4.91% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 15:55
LowVig.ag	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.27% E -2.28% K -4.91% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 15:55
BetOnline.ag	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.27% E -2.28% K -4.91% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 15:54
Coolbet	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.27% E -2.28% K -4.91% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 17:10
DraftKings	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.27% E -2.28% K -4.91% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 15:55
William Hill	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.82%EV -5.30% E -2.86% K -6.23% G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25% NM 48.18%EV -2.87% E -1.44% K -2.90% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-03 16:09
NordicBet	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.30% E -2.86% K -6.23% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 15:54
Betsson	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.30% E -2.86% K -6.23% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 15:54
MyBookie.ag	1.84I 54.35% NM 51.32%EV -5.81% E -3.16% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.68%EV -5.31% E -2.74% K -5.65% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-03 15:54
BetMGM	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -6.32% E -3.45% K -7.61% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-03 19:40
BoyleSports	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.32% E -3.45% K -7.61% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 15:55
Bovada	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.32% E -3.45% K -7.61% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 15:54
theScore Bet	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.32% E -3.45% K -7.61% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 15:55
Caesars	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.32% E -3.45% K -7.61% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 15:58
Hard Rock Bet	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.32% E -3.45% K -7.61% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 16:05
888sport	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.85% E -4.36% K -9.82% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-03 15:55
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.85% E -4.36% K -9.82% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-03 15:55
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.85% E -4.36% K -9.82% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-03 15:55
Betway	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.85% E -4.36% K -9.82% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-03 18:05
Coral	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.85% E -4.36% K -9.82% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -6.78% E -3.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-03 19:40
Betclic (FR)	1.77I 56.50% NM 51.37%EV -9.39% E -5.31% K -12.20% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 48.63%EV -8.73% E -4.67% K -10.03% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-03 15:59
Tipico (DE)	1.75I 57.14% NM 52.70%EV -10.41% E -5.95% K -13.89% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -4.82% E -2.47% K -5.08% G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-03 18:54
Unibet (FR)	1.74I 57.47% NM 51.26%EV -10.93% E -6.28% K -14.77% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 48.74%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-03 15:55
ReBet	1.74I 57.47% NM 51.26%EV -10.93% E -6.28% K -14.77% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 48.74%EV -10.68% E -5.84% K -12.87% G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-03 15:55

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.