The School of Odds

Toledo Mud Hens v Iowa Cubs

2026-07-03 23:05 — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

1.7058.82%Min
1.7158.38%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.7457.47%Max
54.09%1.849Min
55.12%1.814Max
55.03%1.817Mean
55.12%1.814Median
55.08%1.816IQM
55.04%1.817Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 55.08%

EV -4.16%Edge -2.39%Kelly -5.63%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Iowa Cubs (Visit)

2.0449.02%Min
2.0848.14%Mean
2.0947.85%Median
2.1047.62%Max
44.88%2.228Min
45.91%2.178Max
44.97%2.224Mean
44.88%2.228Median
44.92%2.226IQM
44.96%2.224Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 44.92%

EV -5.67%Edge -2.70%Kelly -5.15%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerToledo Mud Hens (Local) ▼Iowa Cubs (Visit)MarginUpdated
Bovada1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -4.16% E -2.39% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -7.91% E -3.86% K -7.53% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 14:12
FanDuel1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.82% E -3.40% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.67% E -2.70% K -5.15% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-03 13:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.82% E -3.40% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.67% E -2.70% K -5.15% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-03 13:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.82% E -3.40% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.67% E -2.70% K -5.15% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-03 13:37
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 55.00%EV -5.82% E -3.40% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.09I 47.85% NM 45.00%EV -6.11% E -2.93% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:40
1xBet1.71I 58.48% NM 54.40%EV -5.82% E -3.40% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 45.60%EV -8.36% E -4.10% K -8.04% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 14:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82% NM 54.79%EV -6.37% E -3.74% K -9.09% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 45.21%EV -7.46% E -3.62% K -7.04% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 17:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.