The School of Odds

TPS Turku v AC Oulu

2026-07-11 14:00 — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: TPS Turku (Local)

2.6238.17%Min
2.9034.53%Mean
2.9034.48%Median
3.0532.79%Max
30.46%3.283Min
33.42%2.992Max
31.98%3.127Mean
32.52%3.075Median
32.32%3.094IQM
31.98%3.127Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 32.32%

EV -1.42%Edge -0.466%Kelly -0.693%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: AC Oulu (Visit)

2.1047.62%Min
2.2444.64%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.4341.15%Max
38.63%2.588Min
42.61%2.347Max
40.16%2.490Mean
39.64%2.523Median
39.85%2.510IQM
40.12%2.492Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.43 under the IQM model: 39.85%

EV -3.17%Edge -1.31%Kelly -2.22%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.0532.79%Min
3.2930.35%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.4528.99%Max
26.93%3.714Min
29.66%3.371Max
27.85%3.590Mean
27.85%3.591Median
27.83%3.593IQM
27.89%3.585Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.45 under the IQM model: 27.83%

EV -3.98%Edge -1.15%Kelly -1.62%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTPS Turku (Local) ▼AC Oulu (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet3.05I 32.79% NM 30.46%EV -1.42% E -0.466% K -0.693% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.61%EV -13.14% E -6.03% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.93%EV -3.98% E -1.15% K -1.62% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:50
Betsson3.05I 32.79% NM 30.46%EV -1.42% E -0.466% K -0.693% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.61%EV -13.14% E -6.03% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.93%EV -3.98% E -1.15% K -1.62% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:50
Unibet3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Casumo3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
TABtouch3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
betPARX3.00I 33.33% NM 30.68%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.84%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:05
BetRivers3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.06%EV -13.14% E -6.03% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.37%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -3.04% E -1.01% K -1.52% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.06%EV -13.14% E -6.03% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.37%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90% NM 30.92%EV -4.65% E -1.58% K -2.39% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 41.85%EV -13.14% E -6.03% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.23%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90% NM 30.92%EV -4.65% E -1.58% K -2.39% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 41.85%EV -13.14% E -6.03% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.23%EV -6.76% E -2.02% K -2.88% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 14:05
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25% NM 32.59%EV -5.62% E -1.93% K -2.93% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 39.17%EV -3.17% E -1.31% K -2.22% G +0.000%3.37I 29.67% NM 28.24%EV -6.20% E -1.84% K -2.62% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:20
888sport2.90I 34.48% NM 31.71%EV -6.27% E -2.16% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.63%EV -5.17% E -2.17% K -3.74% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.66%EV -13.72% E -4.43% K -6.53% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 17:15
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48% NM 31.71%EV -6.27% E -2.16% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.63%EV -5.17% E -2.17% K -3.74% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.66%EV -13.72% E -4.43% K -6.53% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 17:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48% NM 31.71%EV -6.27% E -2.16% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.63%EV -5.17% E -2.17% K -3.74% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.66%EV -13.72% E -4.43% K -6.53% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 17:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48% NM 31.71%EV -6.27% E -2.16% K -3.30% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.63%EV -5.17% E -2.17% K -3.74% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.66%EV -13.72% E -4.43% K -6.53% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 17:20
1xBet2.89I 34.60% NM 32.47%EV -6.59% E -2.28% K -3.49% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.10%EV -4.37% E -1.82% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.43%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72% NM 32.44%EV -6.91% E -2.40% K -3.68% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.25%EV -5.17% E -2.17% K -3.74% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.31%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:04
SportsBet2.85I 35.09% NM 32.21%EV -7.88% E -2.77% K -4.26% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 40.80%EV -10.35% E -4.60% K -8.28% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.00%EV -5.37% E -1.58% K -2.24% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:55
Bet Right2.85I 35.09% NM 32.21%EV -7.88% E -2.77% K -4.26% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 40.80%EV -10.35% E -4.60% K -8.28% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.00%EV -5.37% E -1.58% K -2.24% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:55
FanDuel2.85I 35.09% NM 32.21%EV -7.88% E -2.77% K -4.26% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 40.80%EV -10.35% E -4.60% K -8.28% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.00%EV -5.37% E -1.58% K -2.24% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:55
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09% NM 30.79%EV -7.88% E -2.77% K -4.26% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 41.79%EV -16.32% E -7.77% K -14.84% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.42%EV -10.93% E -3.42% K -4.97% G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 14:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71% NM 32.62%EV -9.50% E -3.39% K -5.28% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.71%EV -8.35% E -3.63% K -6.43% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.68%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71% NM 32.48%EV -9.50% E -3.39% K -5.28% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.54%EV -8.35% E -3.63% K -6.43% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.98%EV -9.54% E -2.94% K -4.24% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 16:20
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71% NM 32.04%EV -9.50% E -3.39% K -5.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 40.78%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.18%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 17:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71% NM 32.04%EV -9.50% E -3.39% K -5.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 40.78%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.18%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71% NM 32.04%EV -9.50% E -3.39% K -5.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 40.78%EV -12.34% E -5.61% K -10.28% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.18%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 19:25
Betway2.70I 37.04% NM 33.42%EV -12.73% E -4.72% K -7.49% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.23%EV -8.35% E -3.63% K -6.43% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.34%EV -8.15% E -2.47% K -3.54% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 17:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04% NM 31.98%EV -12.73% E -4.72% K -7.49% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 40.16%EV -14.33% E -6.67% K -12.46% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.86%EV -13.72% E -4.43% K -6.53% G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-04 17:55
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74% NM 32.24%EV -14.35% E -5.41% K -8.70% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 39.74%EV -14.33% E -6.67% K -12.46% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.01%EV -15.11% E -4.95% K -7.37% G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-04 16:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17% NM 32.92%EV -15.32% E -5.85% K -9.46% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 40.12%EV -14.33% E -6.67% K -12.46% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.96%EV -10.93% E -3.42% K -4.97% G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-04 16:55
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.