The School of Odds

Le Havre v AS Monaco

2026-08-22 15:00 — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Le Havre (Local)

3.4528.99%Min
3.9525.33%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3323.09%Max
22.61%4.423Min
24.43%4.093Max
23.05%4.338Mean
23.14%4.321Median
23.14%4.321IQM
23.04%4.341Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.33 under the IQM model: 23.14%

EV +0.204%Edge +0.047%Kelly +0.061%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: AS Monaco (Visit)

1.6660.24%Min
1.7656.77%Mean
1.7656.82%Median
1.9252.08%Max
50.78%1.969Min
54.21%1.845Max
52.37%1.909Mean
51.99%1.924Median
51.99%1.924IQM
52.43%1.907Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.92 under the IQM model: 51.99%

EV -0.187%Edge -0.097%Kelly -0.203%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.4029.41%Min
3.7826.43%Mean
3.8126.25%Median
4.0025.00%Max
23.18%4.315Min
25.88%3.864Max
24.57%4.069Mean
24.87%4.021Median
24.87%4.021IQM
24.54%4.076Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.87%

EV -0.511%Edge -0.128%Kelly -0.170%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLe Havre (Local) ▼AS Monaco (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet4.33I 23.09% NM 22.77%EV +0.204% E +0.047% K +0.061% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 51.35%EV -0.187% E -0.097% K -0.203% G +0.000%3.81I 26.25% NM 25.88%EV -5.24% E -1.37% K -1.86% G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-03 14:40
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39% NM 23.23%EV -5.12% E -1.25% K -1.65% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.04%EV -4.87% E -2.66% K -5.86% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.74%EV -4.24% E -1.10% K -1.49% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-03 14:40
SportsBet4.10I 24.39% NM 23.10%EV -5.12% E -1.25% K -1.65% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 53.22%EV -7.47% E -4.19% K -9.57% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -0.511% E -0.128% K -0.170% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 14:10
FanDuel4.10I 24.39% NM 22.61%EV -5.12% E -1.25% K -1.65% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 54.21%EV -11.10% E -6.49% K -15.64% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.18%EV -0.511% E -0.128% K -0.170% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-03 14:55
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -7.43% E -1.86% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.43% E -3.57% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -0.511% E -0.128% K -0.170% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 14:54
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -7.43% E -1.86% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -7.47% E -4.19% K -9.57% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -0.511% E -0.128% K -0.170% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 14:50
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00% NM 23.19%EV -7.43% E -1.86% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.02%EV -9.02% E -5.16% K -12.03% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.79%EV -3.00% E -0.769% K -1.03% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-03 14:15
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00% NM 22.94%EV -7.43% E -1.86% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 51.56%EV -7.47% E -4.19% K -9.57% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.49%EV -10.46% E -2.91% K -4.02% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-03 14:15
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00% NM 22.91%EV -7.43% E -1.86% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 52.97%EV -10.06% E -5.82% K -13.79% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -5.49% E -1.44% K -1.96% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-03 15:05
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32% NM 24.04%EV -12.06% E -3.17% K -4.31% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 51.91%EV -8.50% E -4.83% K -11.19% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.04%EV -5.49% E -1.44% K -1.96% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-03 14:10
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67% NM 23.43%EV -13.22% E -3.52% K -4.81% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 51.68%EV -11.62% E -6.84% K -16.61% G +0.000%3.53I 28.33% NM 24.89%EV -12.20% E -3.46% K -4.82% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-03 15:50
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03% NM 23.62%EV -14.38% E -3.89% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 51.41%EV -11.62% E -6.84% K -16.61% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.97%EV -12.95% E -3.70% K -5.18% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-03 15:10
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99% NM 24.43%EV -20.16% E -5.84% K -8.23% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 50.78%EV -13.70% E -8.26% K -20.76% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 24.79%EV -15.43% E -4.54% K -6.43% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-03 14:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.