The School of Odds

Eintracht Braunschweig v Union Berlin

2026-08-21 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

4.6021.74%Min
4.6021.74%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
4.6021.74%Max
20.12%4.970Min
20.64%4.844Max
20.38%4.906Mean
20.38%4.906Median
20.38%4.906IQM
20.43%4.895Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.60 under the IQM model: 20.38%

EV -6.24%Edge -1.36%Kelly -1.73%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Union Berlin (Visit)

1.6062.50%Min
1.6560.79%Mean
1.6560.79%Median
1.6959.17%Max
56.19%1.780Min
57.84%1.729Max
57.02%1.754Mean
57.02%1.754Median
57.02%1.754IQM
56.87%1.758Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.69 under the IQM model: 57.02%

EV -3.64%Edge -2.15%Kelly -5.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.1024.39%Min
4.1524.10%Mean
4.1524.10%Median
4.2023.81%Max
22.04%4.538Min
23.16%4.317Max
22.60%4.425Mean
22.60%4.425Median
22.60%4.425IQM
22.70%4.405Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 22.60%

EV -5.08%Edge -1.21%Kelly -1.59%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerEintracht Braunschweig (Local) ▼Union Berlin (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM4.60I 21.74% NM 20.64%EV -6.24% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.19%EV -3.64% E -2.15% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.16%EV -7.34% E -1.79% K -2.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 09:40
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.12%EV -6.24% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.84%EV -8.77% E -5.48% K -14.62% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.04%EV -5.08% E -1.21% K -1.59% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 13:09
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.