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Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd
EV -0.615%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.99%45.40%45.34%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.062.052.1952.08%48.59%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%54.60%54.66%56.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.731.7962.11%57.72%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 45.38%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 54.62%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.19, with an expected value of -0.615%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -0.615%E -0.281%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 08:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -0.615%E -0.281%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 08:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.07%E -0.490%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 08:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 06:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 05:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 08:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.60%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 05:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 05:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 07:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.60%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 05:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.69%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 05:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.15%E -2.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 05:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 13:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 05:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.60%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 08:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.15%E -4.20%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 06:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.69%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 05:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 08:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.33%E -5.62%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 05:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -10.15%E -5.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.60%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.60%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.60%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.60%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.60%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -12.87%E -6.70%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.39%EV -12.06%E -7.49%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 05:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.