The School of OddsAthletics v Miami Marlins
Head to Head
Option 1: Athletics (Local)
Odds
1.8853.19%Min
1.9750.79%Mean
1.9850.51%Median
2.0748.31%Max
Consensus probabilities
47.33%2.113Min
50.00%2.000Max
48.37%2.067Mean
48.15%2.077Median
48.29%2.071IQM
48.44%2.065Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.07 under the IQM model: 48.29%
EV -0.031%Edge -0.015%Kelly -0.029%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Miami Marlins (Visit)
Odds
1.7457.47%Min
1.8354.50%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.9252.08%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
52.67%1.899Max
51.63%1.937Mean
51.85%1.929Median
51.71%1.934IQM
51.56%1.939Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.92 under the IQM model: 51.71%
EV -0.725%Edge -0.377%Kelly -0.788%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Athletics (Local) ▼ | Miami Marlins (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31% NM 47.33%EV -0.031% E -0.015% K -0.029% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 52.67%EV -3.83% E -2.06% K -4.45% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-03 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50% NM 47.53%EV -2.45% E -1.21% K -2.40% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.47%EV -5.38% E -2.94% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.41% E -1.71% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.41% E -1.71% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.41% E -1.71% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.41% E -1.71% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.41% E -1.71% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25% NM 49.10%EV -3.89% E -1.96% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 50.90%EV -0.725% E -0.377% K -0.788% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-03 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25% NM 49.10%EV -3.89% E -1.96% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 50.90%EV -0.725% E -0.377% K -0.788% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-03 18:15 |
| GTbets | 1.99I 50.25% NM 49.10%EV -3.89% E -1.96% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 50.90%EV -0.725% E -0.377% K -0.788% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -4.38% E -2.21% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -4.34% E -2.35% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.17%EV -4.38% E -2.21% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35% NM 51.83%EV -4.86% E -2.64% K -5.79% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -4.38% E -2.21% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -5.38% E -2.94% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -4.38% E -2.21% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -5.38% E -2.94% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51% NM 47.89%EV -4.38% E -2.21% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 52.11%EV -5.90% E -3.24% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -5.34% E -2.73% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -4.34% E -2.35% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -5.34% E -2.73% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -5.90% E -3.24% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 19:34 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.83% E -2.99% K -6.13% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.31% E -1.77% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-03 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -5.83% E -2.99% K -6.13% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -4.34% E -2.35% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.83% E -2.99% K -6.13% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -7.76% E -4.06% K -8.53% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -3.31% E -1.77% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -7.76% E -4.06% K -8.53% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -6.93% E -3.85% K -8.66% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -8.24% E -4.34% K -9.16% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -1.76% E -0.926% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91% NM 48.08%EV -8.72% E -4.62% K -9.80% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 51.92%EV -9.51% E -5.44% K -12.69% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.07%EV -9.21% E -4.90% K -10.46% G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47% NM 51.93%EV -10.03% E -5.77% K -13.56% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Athletics (Local) | Miami Marlins (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02% | 1.0% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00% | 1.92I 52.08% | 2.1% | 2026-07-03 17:40 |
| Novig | 1.92I 52.08% | 1.92I 52.08% | 4.2% | 2026-07-03 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91% | 1.75I 57.14% | 10.1% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |