The School of Odds

USC Trojans v San Jose State Spartans

2026-08-29 19:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: USC Trojans (Local)

1.00100.00%Min
1.0099.75%Mean
1.00100.00%Median
1.0199.01%Max
91.59%1.092Min
97.14%1.029Max
94.97%1.053Mean
95.45%1.048Median
94.97%1.053IQM
95.63%1.046Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.01 under the IQM model: 94.97%

EV -4.08%Edge -4.04%Kelly -408.20%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: San Jose State Spartans (Visit)

11.009.09%Min
19.505.13%Mean
16.506.06%Median
34.002.94%Max
2.86%35.000Min
8.41%11.891Max
5.03%19.874Mean
4.55%22.000Median
5.03%19.874IQM
4.37%22.858Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 34.00 under the IQM model: 5.03%

EV +71.08%Edge +2.09%Kelly +2.15%Growth +1.53%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerUSC Trojans (Local)San Jose State Spartans (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00% NM 97.14%EV -5.03% E -5.03% K +0.000% G +0.000%34.00I 2.94% NM 2.86%EV +71.08% E +2.09% K +2.15% G +1.53%2.9%2026-06-23 21:40
Coolbet1.00I 100.00% NM 95.45%EV -5.03% E -5.03% K +0.000% G +0.000%21.00I 4.76% NM 4.55%EV +5.66% E +0.270% K +0.283% G +0.016%4.8%2026-06-24 02:10
Bet Victor1.00I 100.00% NM 92.31%EV -5.03% E -5.03% K +0.000% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.69%EV -39.62% E -3.30% K -3.60% G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 21:35
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01% NM 91.59%EV -4.08% E -4.04% K -408.20% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.41%EV -44.65% E -4.06% K -4.47% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.