The School of Odds

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Norfolk Tides

2026-07-04 22:35 — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

1.8653.76%Min
1.8953.03%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.9351.81%Max
47.98%2.084Min
50.00%2.000Max
49.38%2.025Mean
50.00%2.000Median
49.64%2.014IQM
49.43%2.023Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.93 under the IQM model: 49.64%

EV -4.19%Edge -2.17%Kelly -4.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Norfolk Tides (Visit)

1.7856.18%Min
1.8553.97%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.8952.91%Max
50.00%2.000Min
52.02%1.922Max
50.62%1.976Mean
50.00%2.000Median
50.36%1.986IQM
50.57%1.978Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.89 under the IQM model: 50.36%

EV -4.83%Edge -2.55%Kelly -5.42%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local) ▼Norfolk Tides (Visit)MarginUpdated
BetRivers1.93I 51.81% NM 47.98%EV -4.19% E -2.17% K -4.50% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.02%EV -10.37% E -5.82% K -13.29% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 15:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -5.18% E -2.71% K -5.69% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -7.85% E -4.29% K -9.45% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:05
FanDuel1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -6.17% E -3.27% K -6.94% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -4.83% E -2.55% K -5.42% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -7.17% E -3.83% K -8.24% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -5.83% E -3.12% K -6.70% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -7.17% E -3.83% K -8.24% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -5.83% E -3.12% K -6.70% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:25
Bovada1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -7.17% E -3.83% K -8.24% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -5.83% E -3.12% K -6.70% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:43
1xBet1.86I 53.76% NM 50.00%EV -7.66% E -4.12% K -8.91% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 50.00%EV -6.34% E -3.41% K -7.37% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:39
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.