The School of OddsAtlanta Braves v New York Mets
Head to Head
Option 1: Atlanta Braves (Local)
Odds
1.5265.79%Min
1.5863.45%Mean
1.5863.29%Median
1.6361.35%Max
Consensus probabilities
59.14%1.691Min
61.93%1.615Max
60.32%1.658Mean
60.28%1.659Median
60.28%1.659IQM
60.46%1.654Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 60.28%
EV -1.75%Edge -1.07%Kelly -2.78%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: New York Mets (Visit)
Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.4041.71%Mean
2.4041.67%Median
2.5738.91%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.07%2.627Min
40.86%2.447Max
39.68%2.520Mean
39.72%2.517Median
39.72%2.517IQM
39.54%2.529Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.57 under the IQM model: 39.72%
EV +2.09%Edge +0.814%Kelly +1.33%Growth +0.028%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Atlanta Braves (Local) | New York Mets (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29% NM 61.93%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91% NM 38.07%EV +2.09% E +0.814% K +1.33% G +0.028% | 2.2% | 2026-07-03 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29% NM 61.74%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 38.26%EV +1.30% E +0.509% K +0.837% G +0.011% | 2.5% | 2026-07-03 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29% NM 61.74%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 38.26%EV +1.30% E +0.509% K +0.837% G +0.011% | 2.5% | 2026-07-03 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -5.97% E -3.83% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -0.690% E -0.276% K -0.460% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 19:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35% NM 60.15%EV -1.75% E -1.07% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65% NM 39.85%EV -2.28% E -0.926% K -1.56% G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -5.97% E -3.83% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -2.68% E -1.09% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 17:40 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.45%EV -4.16% E -2.62% K -7.05% G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15% NM 39.55%EV -3.47% E -1.43% K -2.43% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-03 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.40%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49% NM 39.60%EV -4.26% E -1.77% K -3.02% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -4.16% E -2.62% K -7.05% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -4.66% E -1.94% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -5.46% E -2.29% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.46% E -2.29% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.46% E -2.29% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 19:23 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.30%EV -2.35% E -1.45% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 40.70%EV -6.25% E -2.65% K -4.60% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.56% E -2.22% K -5.93% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -6.65% E -2.83% K -4.92% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -4.76% E -3.02% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -6.65% E -2.83% K -4.92% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -5.37% E -3.42% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -6.65% E -2.83% K -4.92% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89% NM 59.34%EV -4.16% E -2.62% K -7.05% G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10% NM 40.66%EV -7.84% E -3.38% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.59%EV -5.97% E -3.83% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.41%EV -8.63% E -3.75% K -6.64% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36% NM 59.52%EV -7.78% E -5.08% K -14.68% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 40.48%EV -10.62% E -4.72% K -8.50% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-03 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79% NM 59.14%EV -8.38% E -5.51% K -16.12% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 40.86%EV -12.61% E -5.73% K -10.51% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Atlanta Braves (Local) | New York Mets (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11% | 2.63I 38.02% | 0.1% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11% | 2.56I 39.06% | 1.2% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11% | 2.27I 44.05% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36% | 2.24I 44.64% | 10.0% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |