Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-07-04 05:00 — NPB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Odds

1.5763.69%Min

1.6461.12%Mean

1.6560.61%Median

1.6959.17%Max

Consensus probabilities

56.85%1.759Min

58.90%1.698Max

57.67%1.734Mean

57.64%1.735Median

57.60%1.736IQM

57.70%1.733Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.69 under the IQM model: 57.60%

EV -2.66%Edge -1.57%Kelly -3.85%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.2245.06%Mean

2.2045.45%Median

2.3442.74%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.10%2.433Min

43.15%2.317Max

42.33%2.363Mean

42.36%2.361Median

42.40%2.358IQM

42.30%2.364Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.34 under the IQM model: 42.40%

EV -0.780%Edge -0.333%Kelly -0.582%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local) ▼	Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -2.66% E -1.57% K -3.85% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-03 15:55
BetOnline.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -2.66% E -1.57% K -3.85% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-03 15:54
Fanatics	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.81% E -2.28% K -5.69% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.48% E -1.08% K -1.90% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-03 17:05
1xBet	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.83%EV -3.81% E -2.28% K -5.69% G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67% NM 42.17%EV -2.90% E -1.27% K -2.25% G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-07-03 17:00
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.81% E -2.28% K -5.69% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-03 15:55
Caesars	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.81% E -2.28% K -5.69% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 15:58
Pinnacle	1.66I 60.24% NM 58.50%EV -4.39% E -2.64% K -6.65% G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74% NM 41.50%EV -0.780% E -0.333% K -0.582% G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-03 17:05
William Hill	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.87%EV -4.39% E -2.64% K -6.65% G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86% NM 42.13%EV -3.32% E -1.46% K -2.60% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-03 17:10
BetUS	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.22%EV -4.39% E -2.64% K -6.65% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 42.78%EV -5.87% E -2.64% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 17:05
Coolbet	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 17:10
NordicBet	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 18:10
Betsson	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 18:10
Unibet (SE)	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 16:50
BetRivers	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 16:49
Unibet	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 16:50
PMU (FR)	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 16:50
Bally Bet	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.96% E -3.01% K -7.64% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 16:49
MyBookie.ag	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.51%EV -5.54% E -3.38% K -8.65% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 42.49%EV -5.87% E -2.64% K -4.81% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-03 17:05
FanDuel	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -6.11% E -3.75% K -9.71% G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -3.32% E -1.46% K -2.60% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 17:05
BetMGM	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.69% E -4.13% K -10.79% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 19:40
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.69% E -4.13% K -10.79% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-03 17:04
theScore Bet	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.69% E -4.13% K -10.79% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.69% E -4.13% K -10.79% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-03 16:05
Betway	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -6.69% E -4.13% K -10.79% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -8.84% E -4.11% K -7.68% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-03 15:54
Bovada	1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -7.27% E -4.51% K -11.91% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-03 17:01
888sport	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -7.27% E -4.51% K -11.91% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-03 17:04
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -7.27% E -4.51% K -11.91% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-03 17:04
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -7.27% E -4.51% K -11.91% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-03 17:05
Coral	1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -7.84% E -4.90% K -13.07% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -6.72% E -3.05% K -5.60% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-03 19:40
Betclic (FR)	1.59I 62.89% NM 57.14%EV -8.42% E -5.29% K -14.27% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.86%EV -10.11% E -4.77% K -9.03% G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-07-03 17:03
ReBet	1.59I 62.89% NM 56.91%EV -8.42% E -5.29% K -14.27% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.09%EV -10.96% E -5.22% K -9.96% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)	1.58I 63.29% NM 57.07%EV -8.99% E -5.69% K -15.51% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.93%EV -10.96% E -5.22% K -9.96% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-03 17:05
Tipico (DE)	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -9.57% E -6.10% K -16.79% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -4.60% E -2.04% K -3.68% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-03 17:55

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.