The School of Odds

Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-07-05 21:00 — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis)

Option 1: Seattle Mariners (Local)

1.6460.98%Min
1.7058.86%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7856.18%Max
54.78%1.825Min
56.85%1.759Max
56.07%1.784Mean
56.15%1.781Median
56.15%1.781IQM
56.01%1.785Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 56.15%

EV -0.047%Edge -0.026%Kelly -0.060%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

2.1047.62%Min
2.1845.97%Mean
2.1845.87%Median
2.2544.44%Max
43.15%2.317Min
45.22%2.211Max
43.93%2.276Mean
43.85%2.280Median
43.85%2.281IQM
43.99%2.273Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 43.85%

EV -1.35%Edge -0.598%Kelly -1.08%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSeattle Mariners (Local) ▼Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18% NM 54.82%EV -0.047% E -0.026% K -0.060% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 45.18%EV -5.29% E -2.45% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 02:40
1xBet1.76I 56.82% NM 55.67%EV -1.17% E -0.665% K -1.54% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 44.33%EV -3.10% E -1.40% K -2.56% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14% NM 54.78%EV -1.73% E -0.989% K -2.31% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.22%EV -7.05% E -3.32% K -6.29% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:35
GTbets1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -2.29% E -1.32% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV -1.35% E -0.598% K -1.08% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 21:45
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.29% E -1.32% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.66% E -1.20% K -2.18% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.29% E -1.32% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.66% E -1.20% K -2.18% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.29% E -1.32% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.66% E -1.20% K -2.18% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.29% E -1.32% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 02:40
FanDuel1.72I 58.14% NM 55.90%EV -3.42% E -1.99% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.10%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:35
SportsBet1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -3.42% E -1.99% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -7.92% E -3.77% K -7.20% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:35
Betway1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 02:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:50
BetAnything1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 02:15
Caesars1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 21:49
Fanatics1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:45
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -3.98% E -2.33% K -5.60% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -6.17% E -2.88% K -5.41% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:10
Coral1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:10
TAB1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:25
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:25
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:25
DraftKings1.70I 58.82% NM 56.30%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.19I 45.66% NM 43.70%EV -3.98% E -1.82% K -3.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 21:50
Unibet1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:25
Casumo1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:25
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:25
betPARX1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:25
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:25
PlayUp1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:25
Neds1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.54% E -2.67% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -5.10% E -3.02% K -7.39% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17% NM 56.33%EV -5.10% E -3.02% K -7.39% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.67%EV -4.41% E -2.02% K -3.74% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:29
Betsson1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -5.10% E -3.02% K -7.39% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -5.29% E -2.45% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 02:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -5.10% E -3.02% K -7.39% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -5.29% E -2.45% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 02:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -5.10% E -3.02% K -7.39% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:40
ReBet1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -5.10% E -3.02% K -7.39% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:40
Bet Right1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:55
Coolbet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:15
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.36%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.64%EV -4.85% E -2.24% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 02:25
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.36%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.64%EV -4.85% E -2.24% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 02:25
TABtouch1.68I 59.52% NM 56.36%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.64%EV -4.85% E -2.24% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 02:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52% NM 56.36%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.64%EV -4.85% E -2.24% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 02:25
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -5.66% E -3.37% K -8.33% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 21:50
888sport1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:55
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.54% E -1.61% K -2.95% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 23:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 00:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.22% E -3.73% K -9.29% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.73% E -2.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:03
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24% NM 56.32%EV -6.79% E -4.09% K -10.28% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 43.68%EV -6.17% E -2.88% K -5.41% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 02:25
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98% NM 56.15%EV -7.91% E -4.82% K -12.36% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 43.85%EV -7.92% E -3.77% K -7.20% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98% NM 56.15%EV -7.91% E -4.82% K -12.36% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 43.85%EV -7.92% E -3.77% K -7.20% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 22:15
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerSeattle Mariners (Local)Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%2.22I 45.05%0.9%2026-07-05 02:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%2.20I 45.45%1.0%2026-07-05 02:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%2.27I 44.05%1.2%2026-07-05 00:35
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%2.20I 45.45%2.0%2026-07-05 02:35
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%2.10I 47.62%5.4%2026-07-05 02:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%2.14I 46.73%7.0%2026-07-05 02:40