The School of Odds

New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

2026-07-05 17:35 — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis)

Option 1: New York Yankees (Local)

1.6759.88%Min
1.7357.89%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.7756.50%Max
54.83%1.824Min
56.28%1.777Max
55.32%1.808Mean
55.27%1.809Median
55.30%1.808IQM
55.32%1.808Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.77 under the IQM model: 55.30%

EV -2.12%Edge -1.20%Kelly -2.75%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Minnesota Twins (Visit)

2.0548.78%Min
2.1446.80%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.2145.25%Max
43.72%2.287Min
45.17%2.214Max
44.68%2.238Mean
44.73%2.236Median
44.70%2.237IQM
44.68%2.238Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.21 under the IQM model: 44.70%

EV -1.21%Edge -0.549%Kelly -1.00%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew York Yankees (Local) ▼Minnesota Twins (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets1.77I 56.50% NM 55.42%EV -2.12% E -1.20% K -2.75% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 44.58%EV -1.66% E -0.755% K -1.38% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 21:15
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.12% E -1.20% K -2.75% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.56% E -1.17% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.12% E -1.20% K -2.75% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.56% E -1.17% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 21:15
BetUS1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.12% E -1.20% K -2.75% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.56% E -1.17% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:25
1xBet1.76I 56.82% NM 55.67%EV -2.67% E -1.52% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 44.33%EV -1.21% E -0.549% K -1.00% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 21:20
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82% NM 55.44%EV -2.67% E -1.52% K -3.51% G +0.000%2.19I 45.66% NM 44.56%EV -2.11% E -0.963% K -1.77% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:30
TAB1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -3.22% E -1.84% K -4.30% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 22:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47% NM 55.38%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.62%EV -3.45% E -1.60% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:14
Betway1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:15
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:54
BetAnything1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -4.34% E -2.03% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:50
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -4.34% E -2.03% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -4.34% E -2.03% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:50
Casumo1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:45
Unibet1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:44
betPARX1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:44
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:43
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -3.78% E -2.17% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:44
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80% NM 55.53%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.47%EV -3.45% E -1.60% K -2.97% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:40
Coral1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:15
DraftKings1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -4.34% E -2.03% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 02:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:20
TABtouch1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:50
BetRivers1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:35
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.33% E -2.50% K -5.93% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:15
Neds1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:15
Bovada1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:35
Bet Right1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -4.34% E -2.03% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 21:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -4.88% E -2.84% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:15
888sport1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:15
BetMGM1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:15
Coolbet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:15
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -4.34% E -2.03% K -3.81% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.44% E -3.18% K -7.66% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.57% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.99% E -3.52% K -8.56% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:15
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.99% E -3.52% K -8.56% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82% NM 55.03%EV -5.99% E -3.52% K -8.56% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 44.97%EV -7.02% E -3.38% K -6.50% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 00:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -6.54% E -3.87% K -9.48% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52% NM 54.96%EV -7.10% E -4.22% K -10.43% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.04%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52% NM 54.96%EV -7.10% E -4.22% K -10.43% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.04%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 21:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -7.65% E -4.58% K -11.42% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -3.90% E -1.81% K -3.39% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:15
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerNew York Yankees (Local)Minnesota Twins (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%2.22I 45.05%0.9%2026-07-05 01:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%2.22I 45.05%0.9%2026-07-05 02:10
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%2.19I 45.66%1.2%2026-07-05 02:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%2.22I 45.05%2.2%2026-07-05 00:20
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%2.08I 48.08%5.5%2026-07-05 02:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%2.02I 49.50%9.4%2026-07-05 00:20