The School of OddsWest Indies v Sri Lanka
Head to Head
Option 1: West Indies (Local)
Odds
3.7027.03%Min
3.8126.22%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
3.8525.97%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.33%4.110Min
25.18%3.971Max
24.46%4.089Mean
24.46%4.089Median
24.46%4.089IQM
24.46%4.089Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.85 under the IQM model: 24.46%
EV -5.84%Edge -1.52%Kelly -2.05%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Sri Lanka (Visit)
Odds
1.5166.23%Min
1.5564.63%Mean
1.5464.94%Median
1.6162.11%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.87%1.728Min
61.24%1.633Max
60.55%1.651Mean
60.55%1.651Median
60.55%1.651IQM
60.59%1.650Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.61 under the IQM model: 60.55%
EV -2.51%Edge -1.56%Kelly -4.11%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
5.5018.18%Min
6.2615.97%Mean
6.5015.38%Median
6.5015.38%Max
Consensus probabilities
14.42%6.937Min
16.94%5.903Max
14.99%6.672Mean
14.99%6.672Median
14.99%6.672IQM
14.95%6.689Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 6.50 under the IQM model: 14.99%
EV -2.57%Edge -0.396%Kelly -0.468%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | West Indies (Local) ▼ | Sri Lanka (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.72%EV +2.72% E +0.649% K +0.851% G +0.023% | 1.52I 65.79% NM 60.03%EV -7.96% E -5.24% K -15.31% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.25%EV -25.06% E -5.01% K -6.26% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.44%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.09%EV -6.75% E -4.38% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.47%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.34%EV -5.84% E -1.52% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.24%EV -7.35% E -4.81% K -13.88% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.42%EV -2.57% E -0.396% K -0.468% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -7.06% E -1.86% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.02%EV -6.14% E -3.96% K -11.17% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.50%EV -10.07% E -1.68% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-03 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.33%EV -7.06% E -1.86% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23% NM 61.23%EV -8.56% E -5.67% K -16.79% G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63% NM 14.45%EV -4.07% E -0.636% K -0.754% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.84%EV -8.28% E -2.21% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 58.96%EV -4.33% E -2.74% K -7.46% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.20%EV -13.81% E -2.40% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 00:30 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.84%EV -8.28% E -2.21% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 58.96%EV -4.33% E -2.74% K -7.46% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.20%EV -13.81% E -2.40% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.53%EV -8.28% E -2.21% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.13%EV -7.35% E -4.81% K -13.88% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.33%EV -10.07% E -1.68% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.18%EV -9.50% E -2.57% K -3.52% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.87%EV -2.51% E -1.56% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.94%EV -17.56% E -3.19% K -3.90% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | West Indies (Local) | Sri Lanka (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.70I 17.54% | 1.59I 62.89% | 4.90I 20.41% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54% | 1.59I 62.89% | 4.90I 20.41% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.70I 17.54% | 1.59I 62.89% | 4.90I 20.41% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 02:50 |