The School of Odds

St. Paul Saints v Buffalo Bisons

2026-07-04 23:07 — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: St. Paul Saints (Local)

1.8055.56%Min
1.8354.64%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.8554.05%Max
50.54%1.979Min
51.61%1.937Max
51.18%1.954Mean
51.07%1.958Median
51.07%1.958IQM
51.17%1.954Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 51.07%

EV -5.52%Edge -2.98%Kelly -6.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

1.8853.19%Min
1.9152.36%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
1.9351.81%Max
48.39%2.067Min
49.46%2.022Max
48.82%2.048Mean
48.93%2.044Median
48.93%2.044IQM
48.83%2.048Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.93 under the IQM model: 48.93%

EV -5.56%Edge -2.88%Kelly -5.98%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSt. Paul Saints (Local) ▼Buffalo Bisons (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.52% E -2.98% K -6.50% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.56% E -2.88% K -5.98% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:25
1xBet1.84I 54.35% NM 50.54%EV -6.03% E -3.28% K -7.18% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 49.46%EV -8.01% E -4.26% K -9.10% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:39
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.54% E -3.58% K -7.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.43% K -7.19% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:25
Caesars1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.54% E -3.58% K -7.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.43% K -7.19% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.54% E -3.58% K -7.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.43% K -7.19% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.54% E -3.58% K -7.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.43% K -7.19% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:43
BetRivers1.80I 55.56% NM 51.61%EV -8.07% E -4.49% K -10.09% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 48.39%EV -6.05% E -3.15% K -6.58% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.