Lingua:Italiano
Fiorentina v Pisa
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fiorentina (Casa)
Previsione 65.01%1.54quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -4.96%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.28%64.92%65.11%68.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.411.401.5074.63%70.94%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pisa (Trasferta)
Previsione 14.08%7.10quota equa
EV +12.64%
Vantaggio +1.58%
Kelly +1.81%
Crescita +0.228%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.86%13.89%14.15%15.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.997.008.0016.67%14.31%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 20.91%4.78quota equa
EV +4.54%
Vantaggio +0.908%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.052%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.09%21.19%20.74%23.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.494.505.0025.00%22.25%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fiorentina (Casa): 65.01%; Pisa (Trasferta): 14.08%; Pareggio: 20.91%. Per Pisa (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.10. 11 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.64%.
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.60%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.54%EV +7.57%E +0.991%K +1.14%G +0.086% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.87%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 18:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.13%G +0.052% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -11.58%E -8.52%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -12.23%E -9.06%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -12.23%E -9.06%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.64%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +4.19%E +0.566%K +0.655%G +0.027% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.52%EV -11.77%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 18:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -12.88%E -9.61%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -12.88%E -9.61%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -4.26%E -0.626%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -7.07%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.01%EV -9.63%E -6.93%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.00%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |