赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Fiorentina v Pisa

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 19:02 UTC

最终结果： Fiorentina 3–0 Pisa

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina (主队)

预测 65.01%1.54公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -4.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.28%64.92%65.11%68.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.411.401.5074.63%70.94%71.43%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pisa (客队)

预测 14.08%7.10公平赔率
EV +12.64%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +1.81%
增长率 +0.228%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.86%13.89%14.15%15.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.997.008.0016.67%14.31%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.91%4.78公平赔率
EV +4.54%
优势 +0.908%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.052%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
19.09%21.19%20.74%23.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.494.505.0025.00%22.25%22.22%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fiorentina (主队)：65.01%；Pisa (客队)：14.08%；平局：20.91%。 对于“Pisa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.10。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.00，对应+12.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.60%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.54%EV +7.57%E +0.991%K +1.14%G +0.086%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.87%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 18:56
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.13%G +0.052%4.8%2026-09-15 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -11.58%E -8.52%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 19:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -12.23%E -9.06%K -34.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -12.23%E -9.06%K -34.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.64%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +4.19%E +0.566%K +0.655%G +0.027%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.52%EV -11.77%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 18:56
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -12.88%E -9.61%K -37.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -12.88%E -9.61%K -37.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -4.26%E -0.626%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 19:01
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -7.07%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 19:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 19:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:59
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.01%EV -9.63%E -6.93%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.00%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:01
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 19:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 19:01
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-09-15 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%0.9%2026-09-15 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-09-15 19:01