Langue:Français
Fiorentina v Pisa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fiorentina (Local)
Prévision 65.01%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -4.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.28%64.92%65.11%68.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.411.401.5074.63%70.94%71.43%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pisa (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.08%7.10cote équitable
EV +12.64%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.228%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.86%13.89%14.15%15.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.997.008.0016.67%14.31%14.29%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.91%4.78cote équitable
EV +4.54%
Avantage +0.908%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%21.19%20.74%23.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.505.0025.00%22.25%22.22%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fiorentina (Local) : 65.01% ; Pisa (Visiteur) : 14.08% ; Match nul : 20.91%. Pour Pisa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.10. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +12.64%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.64%E +1.58%K +1.81%G +0.228% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.60%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.54%EV +7.57%E +0.991%K +1.14%G +0.086% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.87%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 18:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.13%G +0.052% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -11.58%E -8.52%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -12.23%E -9.06%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -12.23%E -9.06%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +5.60%E +0.746%K +0.861%G +0.048% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.64%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +4.19%E +0.566%K +0.655%G +0.027% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.52%EV -11.77%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 18:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -12.88%E -9.61%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -12.88%E -9.61%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -1.44%E -0.206%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -4.26%E -0.626%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -7.07%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.48%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.01%EV -9.63%E -6.93%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.00%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -15.52%E -2.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 19:01 |