Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Pohang Steelers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 51.32%1.95fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%51.26%51.30%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.791.791.8862.11%55.78%55.87%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.692%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%23.44%23.47%26.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.793.804.4030.30%26.36%26.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%25.30%25.22%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.503.8930.77%28.36%28.57%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 51.32%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 23.42%; Draw: 25.26%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -14.30%E -8.56%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV +3.05%E +0.692%K +0.896%G +0.027%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 04:55
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.71%EV -6.60%E -3.63%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.701%E -0.165%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.66%EV -1.73%E -0.445%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.64%E -0.390%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -2.74%E -0.712%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.64%E -0.390%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -2.74%E -0.712%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.64%E -0.390%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 04:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 04:19
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 04:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -10.71%E -6.15%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 04:54
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 04:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 04:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 04:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 04:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 04:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 04:54
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 04:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 04:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.08%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 19:44
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.79%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 04:20
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.32%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 04:55
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 04:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 04:31
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 04:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 04:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 04:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -12.25%E -7.16%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -13.35%E -3.89%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 04:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%EV -10.71%E -6.15%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 04:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 04:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.22%E -6.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 04:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 52.20%EV -17.38%E -10.79%K -28.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.71%EV -13.35%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-24 04:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -14.52%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-24 04:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -16.86%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 04:55
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-23 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.88%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -19.20%E -5.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -15.37%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 04:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 47.96%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%EV -21.54%E -6.43%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%EV -17.90%E -5.51%K -7.95%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-24 04:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.68%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -22.72%E -6.88%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -17.90%E -5.51%K -7.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-24 04:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-10-24 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-10-24 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-10-24 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-10-24 04:55
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-10-24 04:55
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%3.1%2026-10-24 04:55