The School of Odds

Washington Mystics v Golden State Valkyries

2026-07-06 23:40 — WNBA

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Washington Mystics (Local)

2.2045.45%Min
2.3442.69%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.4041.67%Max
39.75%2.516Min
41.64%2.401Max
40.35%2.479Mean
40.35%2.478Median
40.37%2.477IQM
40.33%2.480Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.37%

EV -3.11%Edge -1.29%Kelly -2.22%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

1.5763.69%Min
1.5962.91%Mean
1.5962.89%Median
1.6261.73%Max
58.36%1.714Min
60.25%1.660Max
59.65%1.676Mean
59.65%1.677Median
59.63%1.677IQM
59.67%1.676Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 59.63%

EV -3.40%Edge -2.10%Kelly -5.49%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWashington Mystics (Local) ▼Golden State Valkyries (Visit)MarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -3.11% E -1.29% K -2.22% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.00% E -2.48% K -6.56% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:24
Caesars2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -3.11% E -1.29% K -2.22% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.00% E -2.48% K -6.56% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:25
GTbets2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -3.11% E -1.29% K -2.22% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.00% E -2.48% K -6.56% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -3.11% E -1.29% K -2.22% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -4.60% E -2.87% K -7.66% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 22:25
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -3.11% E -1.29% K -2.22% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -5.19% E -3.27% K -8.80% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:35
888sport2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -3.91% E -1.64% K -2.84% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:25
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -3.91% E -1.64% K -2.84% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:25
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -3.91% E -1.64% K -2.84% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:25
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37% NM 40.40%EV -4.72% E -2.00% K -3.47% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.60%EV -4.60% E -2.87% K -7.66% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 23:58
1xBet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -5.12% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -3.40% E -2.10% K -5.49% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:35
Fanatics2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -5.12% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.00% E -2.48% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:54
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -5.12% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -4.60% E -2.87% K -7.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:54
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -5.12% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -5.19% E -3.27% K -8.80% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 22:40
Coolbet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -5.12% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -5.79% E -3.66% K -9.98% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 22:40
FanDuel2.34I 42.74% NM 40.76%EV -5.53% E -2.36% K -4.13% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.24%EV -4.00% E -2.48% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:50
Bet Right2.34I 42.74% NM 40.61%EV -5.53% E -2.36% K -4.13% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.39%EV -4.60% E -2.87% K -7.66% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 22:40
SportsBet2.31I 43.29% NM 40.77%EV -6.74% E -2.92% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.23%EV -5.19% E -3.27% K -8.80% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 23:50
ReBet2.31I 43.29% NM 40.46%EV -6.74% E -2.92% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.54%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 22:25
NordicBet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -7.14% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -5.79% E -3.66% K -9.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 00:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -7.14% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -5.79% E -3.66% K -9.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 00:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -7.14% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 23:35
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -9.16% E -4.07% K -7.33% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 23:49
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45% NM 41.64%EV -11.18% E -5.08% K -9.32% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.36%EV -6.38% E -4.07% K -11.20% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 22:25
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerWashington Mystics (Local)Golden State Valkyries (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%1.64I 60.98%0.0%2026-07-05 01:35
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%1.59I 62.89%4.9%2026-07-05 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%1.01I 99.01%98.0%2026-07-05 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%1.01I 99.01%98.0%2026-07-05 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%1.01I 99.01%98.0%2026-07-05 01:20