The School of OddsDundalk v Drogheda United
Head to Head
Option 1: Dundalk (Local)
Odds
1.4768.03%Min
1.5464.92%Mean
1.5664.10%Median
1.6062.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.13%1.751Min
60.54%1.652Max
59.73%1.674Mean
59.78%1.673Median
59.81%1.672IQM
59.74%1.674Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.60 under the IQM model: 59.81%
EV -4.31%Edge -2.69%Kelly -7.19%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Drogheda United (Visit)
Odds
4.1024.39%Min
4.9420.26%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.2519.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.88%5.592Min
20.48%4.882Max
18.25%5.478Mean
18.31%5.463Median
18.23%5.484IQM
18.25%5.479Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.25 under the IQM model: 18.23%
EV -4.27%Edge -0.813%Kelly -1.00%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.0724.55%Mean
4.1024.39%Median
4.3822.83%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.46%4.660Min
22.91%4.364Max
22.01%4.542Mean
21.92%4.562Median
21.96%4.554IQM
22.00%4.545Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.38 under the IQM model: 21.96%
EV -3.81%Edge -0.871%Kelly -1.13%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Dundalk (Local) ▼ | Drogheda United (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.64%EV -4.31% E -2.69% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 18.17%EV -4.27% E -0.813% K -1.00% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 22.19%EV -5.57% E -1.30% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-03 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 58.83%EV -5.51% E -3.49% K -9.50% G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20% NM 18.78%EV -9.74% E -1.97% K -2.47% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 22.40%EV -8.87% E -2.14% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29% NM 58.83%EV -5.51% E -3.49% K -9.50% G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20% NM 18.78%EV -9.74% E -1.97% K -2.47% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 22.40%EV -8.87% E -2.14% K -2.81% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.14%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.65%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.25%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46% NM 18.29%EV -6.27% E -1.22% K -1.52% G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83% NM 21.46%EV -3.81% E -0.871% K -1.13% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 20:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.02%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.36%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.62%EV -4.91% E -1.13% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.30%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.14%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.56%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10% NM 58.86%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.74%EV -10.65% E -2.17% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.40%EV -9.96% E -2.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10% NM 58.75%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.33%EV -8.83% E -1.77% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.91%EV -12.16% E -3.04% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.91%EV -7.30% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.26%EV -8.83% E -1.77% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.83%EV -12.16% E -3.04% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-03 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94% NM 60.54%EV -7.90% E -5.13% K -14.63% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.93%EV -5.18% E -0.996% K -1.23% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.53%EV -4.91% E -1.13% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94% NM 59.71%EV -7.90% E -5.13% K -14.63% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.39%EV -8.83% E -1.77% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.89%EV -7.77% E -1.85% K -2.43% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94% NM 59.07%EV -7.90% E -5.13% K -14.63% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.19%EV -8.83% E -1.77% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.74%EV -12.16% E -3.04% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36% NM 58.84%EV -8.50% E -5.55% K -16.03% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.37%EV -10.65% E -2.17% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.79%EV -13.26% E -3.36% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36% NM 58.84%EV -8.50% E -5.55% K -16.03% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.37%EV -10.65% E -2.17% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.79%EV -13.26% E -3.36% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36% NM 58.31%EV -8.50% E -5.55% K -16.03% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 19.39%EV -16.12% E -3.50% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.30%EV -12.16% E -3.04% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.40%EV -9.69% E -6.42% K -19.01% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.88%EV -7.00% E -1.37% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.72%EV -7.77% E -1.85% K -2.43% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.34%EV -10.29% E -6.86% K -20.58% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.10%EV -8.83% E -1.77% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.55%EV -7.77% E -1.85% K -2.43% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 58.12%EV -10.29% E -6.86% K -20.58% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 19.81%EV -19.77% E -4.49% K -5.81% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.07%EV -13.26% E -3.36% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-03 20:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67% NM 57.87%EV -10.29% E -6.86% K -20.58% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 19.29%EV -17.94% E -3.99% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 22.84%EV -16.55% E -4.36% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-03 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 58.91%EV -10.89% E -7.31% K -22.23% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 18.29%EV -12.47% E -2.60% K -3.28% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.80%EV -15.45% E -4.01% K -5.42% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 58.03%EV -10.89% E -7.31% K -22.23% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 19.21%EV -17.94% E -3.99% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 22.75%EV -16.55% E -4.36% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57% NM 59.58%EV -11.49% E -7.76% K -23.93% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 18.37%EV -12.47% E -2.60% K -3.28% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.05%EV -12.16% E -3.04% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03% NM 57.13%EV -12.09% E -8.22% K -25.72% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 20.48%EV -25.24% E -6.16% K -8.14% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 22.39%EV -17.65% E -4.71% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-07-03 20:15 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.