The School of Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder v Memphis Grizzlies

2026-07-04 19:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Odds
2.0648.54%Min
2.2544.39%Mean
2.2743.96%Median
2.3243.10%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.21%2.487Min
45.65%2.191Max
42.18%2.371Mean
41.74%2.396Median
41.81%2.392IQM
42.16%2.372Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.32 under the IQM model: 41.81%

EV -3.00%Edge -1.29%Kelly -2.28%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Odds
1.5664.10%Min
1.6460.94%Mean
1.6361.16%Median
1.7357.80%Max
Consensus probabilities
54.35%1.840Min
59.79%1.672Max
57.82%1.730Mean
58.26%1.716Median
58.19%1.718IQM
57.84%1.729Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.73 under the IQM model: 58.19%

EV +0.671%Edge +0.388%Kelly +0.919%Growth +0.006%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOklahoma City Thunder (Local)Memphis Grizzlies (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers2.06I 48.54% NM 45.65%EV -13.87% E -6.73% K -13.09% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.35%EV +0.671% E +0.388% K +0.919% G +0.006%6.3%2026-07-04 08:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -3.84% E -1.67% K -2.95% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.82% E -1.69% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 07:50
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -3.84% E -1.67% K -2.95% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.82% E -1.69% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 08:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.84% E -1.67% K -2.95% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.98% E -2.41% K -6.13% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 07:45
SportsBet2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -5.09% E -2.24% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -4.57% E -2.78% K -7.14% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 06:30
FanDuel2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -4.68% E -2.05% K -3.65% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -5.15% E -3.16% K -8.17% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 06:24
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.56%EV -8.02% E -3.65% K -6.68% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 57.44%EV -5.15% E -3.16% K -8.17% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 09:10
ReBet2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.93% E -2.64% K -4.74% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.73% E -3.54% K -9.24% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 07:50
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -5.93% E -2.64% K -4.74% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.31% E -3.92% K -10.35% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 07:50
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10% NM 40.21%EV -3.00% E -1.29% K -2.28% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 59.79%EV -9.22% E -5.91% K -16.47% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 08:45
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerOklahoma City Thunder (Local)Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%1.01I 99.01%98.0%2026-07-04 07:30