The School of Odds

FC Energie Cottbus v Augsburg

2026-08-22 11:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

3.4029.41%Min
3.6127.71%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
3.9025.64%Max
23.64%4.230Min
25.12%3.981Max
23.64%4.230Mean
23.64%4.230Median
23.64%4.230IQM
23.64%4.230Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 23.64%

EV -7.81%Edge -2.00%Kelly -2.69%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Augsburg (Visit)

1.5365.36%Min
1.5962.96%Mean
1.5863.29%Median
1.6560.61%Max
54.05%1.850Min
55.87%1.790Max
55.87%1.790Mean
55.87%1.790Median
55.87%1.790IQM
55.87%1.790Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 55.87%

EV -7.81%Edge -4.73%Kelly -12.01%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.0524.69%Min
4.2623.48%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.5022.22%Max
20.27%4.933Min
20.89%4.788Max
20.49%4.881Mean
20.49%4.881Median
20.49%4.881IQM
20.49%4.881Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 20.49%

EV -7.81%Edge -1.74%Kelly -2.23%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Energie Cottbus (Local) ▼Augsburg (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM5.00I 20.00% NM 18.95%EV +18.19% E +3.64% K +4.55% G +0.828%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.49%EV -9.48% E -5.85% K -15.30% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.56%EV -13.95% E -3.32% K -4.36% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 09:40
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64% NM 23.64%EV -7.81% E -2.00% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.87%EV -7.81% E -4.73% K -12.01% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.49%EV -7.81% E -1.74% K -2.23% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 23:20
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97% NM 23.87%EV -8.99% E -2.34% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.70%EV -7.81% E -4.73% K -12.01% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.42%EV -7.81% E -1.74% K -2.23% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-02 10:19
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17% NM 24.56%EV -16.08% E -4.53% K -6.31% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 55.17%EV -11.72% E -7.42% K -20.21% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 20.27%EV -11.91% E -2.77% K -3.61% G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-24 17:09
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17% NM 23.83%EV -16.08% E -4.53% K -6.31% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 55.29%EV -14.51% E -9.49% K -27.38% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 20.89%EV -17.03% E -4.20% K -5.58% G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-24 17:09
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41% NM 25.12%EV -19.63% E -5.77% K -8.18% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 54.05%EV -11.72% E -7.42% K -20.21% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 20.83%EV -16.00% E -3.90% K -5.16% G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-30 06:59
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41% NM 24.77%EV -19.63% E -5.77% K -8.18% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 54.69%EV -13.95% E -9.06% K -25.84% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 20.54%EV -16.00% E -3.90% K -5.16% G +0.000%18.7%2026-06-24 17:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.