Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zhejiang v Wuhan Three Towns

Início: 2026-09-18 11:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zhejiang (Local)

Previsão 49.38%2.03odd justa
EV -4.20%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -4.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.20%49.48%49.32%52.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.841.851.9460.24%54.42%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Previsão 28.33%3.53odd justa
EV +4.82%
Vantagem +1.30%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%28.20%28.35%29.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.323.273.7034.48%30.11%30.53%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.29%4.49odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.436%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.51%22.31%22.33%23.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.114.204.4026.32%24.33%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Zhejiang (Local): 49.38%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante): 28.33%; Empate: 22.29%. Para Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV +1.70%E +0.474%K +0.657%G +0.011%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.23%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 11:27
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.67%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV +0.567%E +0.160%K +0.222%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -8.60%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -16.05%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -0.849%E -0.243%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.59%EV -18.03%E -10.86%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -2.27%E -0.657%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.59%EV -18.03%E -10.86%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -2.27%E -0.657%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.54%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.12%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -4.15%E -0.964%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 11:30
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.15%E -0.964%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 11:29
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.86%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.70%EV -5.67%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.44%EV -8.38%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 10:35
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.92%E -0.436%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 11:29
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:30
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.18%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 11:30
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -6.67%E -3.53%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.60%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.60%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 11:20
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 11:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.47%EV -9.14%E -4.97%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.60%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.65%EV -16.05%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.14%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.21%EV -15.29%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.5%2026-09-18 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.74%EV -14.57%E -8.42%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.07%EV -17.85%E -6.15%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.29%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.6%2026-09-18 11:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.00%0.0%2026-09-18 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-09-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-09-18 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-09-18 11:20
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-09-18 11:20