Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 76.91%; West Indies (Visit): 23.09%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.58%E +0.360%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 13:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +1.58%E +0.360%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.725%E -0.169%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.725%E -0.169%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.03%E -0.722%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.03%E -0.722%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.03%E -0.722%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.03%E -0.722%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.03%E -0.722%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.03%E -0.722%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.09%E -2.45%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-14 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 13:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 13:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -8.11%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 13:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 13:18 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 13:20 |