The School of Odds

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Yunnan Yukun

2026-07-10 11:35 — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

1.5066.67%Min
1.5863.29%Mean
1.5962.89%Median
1.6361.35%Max
56.34%1.775Min
59.94%1.668Max
58.25%1.717Mean
58.23%1.717Median
58.20%1.718IQM
58.37%1.713Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 58.20%

EV -5.13%Edge -3.15%Kelly -8.15%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

3.7526.67%Min
4.4022.73%Mean
4.4022.73%Median
4.8020.83%Max
19.60%5.101Min
22.54%4.438Max
20.64%4.844Mean
20.74%4.821Median
20.75%4.819IQM
20.56%4.864Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.80 under the IQM model: 20.75%

EV -0.402%Edge -0.084%Kelly -0.106%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.0025.00%Min
4.3423.04%Mean
4.3522.99%Median
4.6321.60%Max
20.37%4.909Min
21.99%4.547Max
21.11%4.738Mean
21.02%4.756Median
21.05%4.751IQM
21.06%4.747Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.63 under the IQM model: 21.05%

EV -2.54%Edge -0.548%Kelly -0.699%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerShandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local) ▼Yunnan Yukun (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.58%EV -5.13% E -3.15% K -8.15% G +0.000%4.64I 21.55% NM 20.58%EV -3.72% E -0.802% K -1.02% G +0.000%4.58I 21.83% NM 20.85%EV -3.59% E -0.784% K -1.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:34
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 57.02%EV -5.72% E -3.53% K -9.22% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.99%EV -8.70% E -1.98% K -2.56% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.99%EV -11.59% E -2.76% K -3.62% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 14:20
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11% NM 58.63%EV -6.30% E -3.91% K -10.32% G +0.000%4.62I 21.65% NM 20.43%EV -4.14% E -0.895% K -1.14% G +0.000%4.51I 22.17% NM 20.93%EV -5.06% E -1.12% K -1.44% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
888sport1.61I 62.11% NM 57.17%EV -6.30% E -3.91% K -10.32% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -8.70% E -1.98% K -2.56% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -11.59% E -2.76% K -3.62% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 57.17%EV -6.30% E -3.91% K -10.32% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -8.70% E -1.98% K -2.56% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -11.59% E -2.76% K -3.62% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 57.17%EV -6.30% E -3.91% K -10.32% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -8.70% E -1.98% K -2.56% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -11.59% E -2.76% K -3.62% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.09%EV -6.88% E -4.30% K -11.47% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.90%EV -1.44% E -0.303% K -0.384% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.01%EV -5.27% E -1.17% K -1.51% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:50
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.88% E -4.30% K -11.47% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -8.70% E -1.98% K -2.56% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -7.38% E -1.68% K -2.17% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.88% E -4.30% K -11.47% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -8.70% E -1.98% K -2.56% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -7.38% E -1.68% K -2.17% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 11:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50% NM 57.62%EV -6.88% E -4.30% K -11.47% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -9.74% E -2.24% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -8.43% E -1.94% K -2.52% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 14:35
Betsson1.60I 62.50% NM 57.62%EV -6.88% E -4.30% K -11.47% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -9.74% E -2.24% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -8.43% E -1.94% K -2.52% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 14:33
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.05%EV -6.88% E -4.30% K -11.47% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.48%EV -11.81% E -2.78% K -3.64% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.48%EV -10.54% E -2.48% K -3.24% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 14:35
GTbets1.58I 63.29% NM 59.69%EV -8.04% E -5.09% K -13.87% G +0.000%4.73I 21.14% NM 19.94%EV -1.85% E -0.392% K -0.497% G +0.000%4.63I 21.60% NM 20.37%EV -2.54% E -0.548% K -0.699% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:00
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 58.61%EV -8.04% E -5.09% K -13.87% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.58%EV -6.63% E -1.47% K -1.89% G +0.000%4.45I 22.47% NM 20.81%EV -6.33% E -1.42% K -1.83% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 14:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.94%EV -8.63% E -5.49% K -15.13% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.60%EV -0.402% E -0.084% K -0.106% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.46%EV -3.17% E -0.689% K -0.880% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69% NM 59.94%EV -8.63% E -5.49% K -15.13% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.60%EV -0.402% E -0.084% K -0.106% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.46%EV -3.17% E -0.689% K -0.880% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:49
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69% NM 58.43%EV -8.63% E -5.49% K -15.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.39%EV -6.63% E -1.47% K -1.89% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.19%EV -8.85% E -2.04% K -2.66% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 11:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69% NM 57.65%EV -8.63% E -5.49% K -15.13% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.30%EV -11.81% E -2.78% K -3.64% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.05%EV -9.48% E -2.21% K -2.87% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:35
Bet Right1.56I 64.10% NM 58.78%EV -9.21% E -5.90% K -16.44% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.38%EV -6.63% E -1.47% K -1.89% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.84%EV -7.38% E -1.68% K -2.17% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10% NM 56.77%EV -9.21% E -5.90% K -16.44% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.14%EV -17.00% E -4.25% K -5.67% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.09%EV -11.59% E -2.76% K -3.62% G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 14:35
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 57.10%EV -10.37% E -6.74% K -19.21% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.45%EV -14.93% E -3.64% K -4.81% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.45%EV -13.69% E -3.34% K -4.42% G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 14:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36% NM 59.25%EV -10.95% E -7.16% K -20.67% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.15%EV -6.63% E -1.47% K -1.89% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.60%EV -7.38% E -1.68% K -2.17% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 11:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67% NM 56.51%EV -12.70% E -8.47% K -25.40% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.30%EV -21.15% E -5.57% K -7.55% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.19%EV -15.80% E -3.95% K -5.27% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 56.34%EV -12.70% E -8.47% K -25.40% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.54%EV -22.19% E -5.92% K -8.07% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.13%EV -15.80% E -3.95% K -5.27% G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-04 14:35
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.