Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stourbridge FC (Local): 44.77%; Rushall Olympic FC (Visit): 29.47%; Draw: 25.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.75%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.74%E -0.829%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.12%E -0.559%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -8.04%E -2.58%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -3.67%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.78%E -3.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.61%EV -9.57%E -4.74%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.64%EV -10.40%E -3.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -2.12%E -0.559%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.36%E -5.74%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.36%E -5.74%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.36%E -5.74%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.81%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.43%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.