Language:English
Welsh Fire v Southern Brave
Head to Head
Welsh Fire (Local)
Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.46%40.35%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.302.3844.44%43.02%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Brave (Visit)
Prediction 59.65%1.68fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.54%59.65%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6265.36%63.24%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Welsh Fire (Local): 40.35%; Southern Brave (Visit): 59.65%. For Southern Brave (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -3.38%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.85%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.55%E -4.87%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 19:30 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 22:09 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 22:09 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.16%E -3.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.16%E -3.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.16%E -3.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 16:24 |
| betano_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.74%E -5.71%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.74%E -5.71%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 51.24% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 48.76% | 65.4% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 51.24% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 48.76% | 65.4% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |