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Trent Rockets v Sunrisers Leeds

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trent Rockets (Local)

Prediction 55.34%1.81fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.69%55.50%57.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.731.7562.11%58.44%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sunrisers Leeds (Visit)

Prediction 44.66%2.24fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.15%44.31%44.50%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.112.102.2148.31%47.42%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trent Rockets (Local): 55.34%; Sunrisers Leeds (Visit): 44.66%. For Sunrisers Leeds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.15%E -1.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 09:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:50
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:39
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.33%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.33%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.33%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.33%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:55
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.56%E -3.65%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 09:50
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.22%E -2.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 09:53
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -1.31%E -0.592%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-02 09:55
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-08-02 09:55

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