The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Trent Rockets v Southern Brave

Kickoff: 2026-08-10 13:58 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trent Rockets (Local)

Prediction 69.03%1.45fair odd
EV -0.597%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%68.19%69.51%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4475.19%73.32%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Brave (Visit)

Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV +0.654%
Edge +0.201%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.81%30.49%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.063.103.2538.46%32.64%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trent Rockets (Local): 69.03%; Southern Brave (Visit): 30.97%. For Southern Brave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.654%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.654%E +0.201%K +0.291%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-10 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.654%E +0.201%K +0.291%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-10 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.654%E +0.201%K +0.291%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-10 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.654%E +0.201%K +0.291%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-10 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.75%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 13:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 13:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 13:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 13:55
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.81%E -5.04%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 13:55
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 13:54
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -0.597%E -0.415%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -19.48%E -7.49%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-10 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-10 13:55
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 13:55