The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Trent Rockets v Birmingham Phoenix

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trent Rockets (Local)

Prediction 66.64%1.50fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.91%66.05%66.35%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.421.401.4871.94%70.62%71.17%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Birmingham Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.95%33.65%37.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.512.822.852.9039.84%35.47%35.09%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trent Rockets (Local): 66.64%; Birmingham Phoenix (Visit): 33.36%. For Trent Rockets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.48, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -1.37%E -0.928%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -16.27%E -6.48%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 13:34
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.37%E -2.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.04%E -2.80%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.04%E -2.80%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.04%E -2.80%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.37%E -3.78%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.04%E -4.28%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.04%E -4.28%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 13:35
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.04%E -4.28%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 13:34
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:49
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:48
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.70%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.37%E -5.30%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-05 13:50
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-08-05 13:55

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