預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sunrisers Leeds v Welsh Fire

開賽時間: 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sunrisers Leeds (主隊)

預測 66.27%1.51公平賠率
EV -3.25%
優勢 -2.22%
Kelly -7.06%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.46

博彩公司預測分布
64.02%66.05%65.88%68.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.421.441.4673.53%70.26%69.44%68.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Welsh Fire (客隊)

預測 33.73%2.96公平賠率
EV +1.20%
優勢 +0.398%
Kelly +0.598%
成長率 +0.007%

假設最高賠率為 3.00

博彩公司預測分布
31.19%33.95%34.12%35.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.582.792.753.0038.76%35.88%36.36%33.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sunrisers Leeds (主隊):66.27%;Welsh Fire (客隊):33.73%。 對於「Welsh Fire (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.96的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.00,對應+1.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.55%E -6.20%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.20%E +0.398%K +0.598%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-09 09:55
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.20%E +0.398%K +0.598%G +0.007%6.9%2026-08-09 09:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 09:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 09:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 09:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.85%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 09:54
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -4.88%E -1.73%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 09:50
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 09:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 09:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 09:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.25%E -2.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.29%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 09:40
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.25%E -2.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.29%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.25%E -2.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.29%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -12.97%E -5.03%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 09:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-09 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 09:55
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-08-09 09:55