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Sunrisers Leeds v Welsh Fire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sunrisers Leeds (主队)
预测 66.27%1.51公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -7.06%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.46
博彩公司预测分布
64.02%66.05%65.88%68.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.441.4673.53%70.26%69.44%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
Welsh Fire (客队)
预测 33.73%2.96公平赔率
EV +1.20%
优势 +0.398%
Kelly +0.598%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.19%33.95%34.12%35.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.582.792.753.0038.76%35.88%36.36%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sunrisers Leeds (主队)：66.27%；Welsh Fire (客队)：33.73%。 对于“Welsh Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.96。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.00，对应+1.20%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.55%E -6.20%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.20%E +0.398%K +0.598%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.20%E +0.398%K +0.598%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.88%E -7.26%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.85%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 09:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -4.88%E -1.73%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.25%E -2.22%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.29%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.25%E -2.22%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.29%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.25%E -2.22%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.29%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -12.97%E -5.03%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |