Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 1.37
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: MI London (Local): 28.89%; Trent Rockets (Visit): 71.11%. For MI London (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.10%E +0.314%K +0.440%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 09:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.10%E +0.314%K +0.440%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 09:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.10%E +0.314%K +0.440%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 09:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.79%E -0.526%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.00%E -2.96%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.10%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.55%E -5.81%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.57%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 09:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.57%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.00%E -2.96%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.00%E -2.96%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.00%E -2.96%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.62%EV -18.25%E -6.45%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -2.57%E -1.88%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |